For some perspective on a key US stock market index, today’s chart illustrates the overall trend of the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite since 2000. As today’s chart illustrates, the Nasdaq’s seven-year post-financial crisis rally is still very much intact. While other major indices have pulled back slightly (though still trade near historic highs — the Dow just closed above 20,000 and the S&P 500 is closing in on 2,300) the Nasdaq continues to post all-time record highs and, today, did so once again.
1.CME Group Daily Volume +25%….Energy Trading +27% and Metals Trading +49%
CME Group Driving Global Growth and Commerce
CME Group is the world’s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, handling 3 billion contracts worth approximately $1 quadrillion annually (on average). The company provides a marketplace for buyers and sellers, bringing together individuals, companies and institutions that need to manage risk or that want to profit by accepting risk. Our exchanges – CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX – offer the widest range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes, including futures and options based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, agricultural commodities, metals, weather and real estate. As part of our commitment to providing innovative risk-management solutions to the marketplace, CME Group also offers a growing slate of cleared OTC products and services. Through our CME Globex electronic trading platform, users worldwide are able to access the broadest array of the most liquid financial derivatives markets available anywhere. Additionally, CME Group operates CME Clearing, one of the world’s leading central counterparty clearing providers. By serving as the counterparty to every trade that happens in our markets, we protect the integrity of our markets, virtually eliminating third-party credit risk. For the global economy, this unparalleled access translates into opportunity. http://www.cmegroup.com/company/history/
CME Group Breaks Out of a Long Sideways Channel.
CME 20% Move After Election…Trump Inflationary Policies Positive for Commodities Trading?
Global Growth and Inflation Accelerating Before Any Trump Policies in Play.
1.Inflation…Global Citigroup Inflation Surprise Index is Highest in 5 Years.
Inflation across the world is beating analysts’ forecasts even before the potential effect from Donald Trump’s economic policies. The global Citi Inflation Surprise Index, which measures price surprises relative to market expectations, is at the highest in more than five years. The reading turned positive in December — meaning inflation data were higher than expected — for the first time since 2012.
1.Longest Streak in 11 Years without a 1% Pullback
Days without a 1% pullback
There have been 75 sessions (including Monday) without a 1% drop in the S&P, which marks the longest such streak in about 11 years, according to Krinsky. A period of sideways trading tends to suggest that the market has pent up momentum. And if history is any gauge, momentum may be leaning toward a downturn, given the market’s tendencies in February.