TOPLEY’S TOP 10 October 01, 2026

1. History of 4 Year Presidential Cycle

Dan Stratemeier Jefferies


2. Equal Weight S&P 7th Straight Week Down

RSP streak. The equal-weight S&P 500 is on track for its 7th consecutive weekly decline. The only other time that’s happened was in the middle of the 2022 bear market.

DAILY CHARTBOOK


3. Forward Returns S&P Better After New Highs

@Charlie Bilello


4. 10 Drivers of Higher Interest Rates-Barry Ritholtz

10 Drivers of Higher Interest Rates

  1. Covid Fiscal Stimulus
  2. AI-Accelerated GDP Growth
  3. Inflation: Oil and the Iran war premium
  4. Inflation: Tariff Trade policy
  5. Rest of the world sours on US Treasuries
  6. Duration: Weak Demand for long-dated paper
  7. Deficits
  8. Corporate Supply (competing with Treasury)
  9. Japan leads Global rise in yield
  10. Rate Normalization, Post QE/ZIRP
https://ritholtz.com/2026/09/the-aberrational-century/
 

5. Bond Bear-Muni Bonds Largest Decline Since 1987

Barchart


6. Inflation-Manufacturing Still Expanding


7. Inflation-No Slowdown in Consumer Spending

Wolf Street


8. Comcast Stock -60% in 5 Years

Google


9. Asian Countries Youth Unemployment Crisis

Semafor


10. 20 Best Small Cities in America-Wallethub

Google

Revenue this Decade Running Double the Rate of 1990’s Bull Market

1. Revenue this Decade Running Double the Rate of 1990’s Bull Market


2. Small Cap Giving Up Outperformance 2026….Last 3 Months—S&P +5% vs. Small Cap -4%

Ycharts


3. Small Cap Chart…Pulling Back to 200 Day …Held in April

StockCharts


4. Another Chart of the Huge Spread Tech Stock Flows vs. Rest of Market

DAILY CHARTBOOK


5. META Catching Up to Nasdaq 2026 After Being -30% Behind this Summer

Abnormal Returns


6. META MUSE Already Cancelling Subscriptions-Axios

Axios


7. Investment Banking Leader GS Closes Below 200-Day

StockCharts


8. McDonalds Stock MCD Hits Negative 5-Year Returns….Inflation+gas prices+Ozempic

Google


9. 20% of Home Listings in U.S. Cut Prices in August

Bloomberg


10. A doctor shares his 5-step routine for preventing cancer

Business Insider Dr. Kumar works with patients who have many types of cancer, and said he’s built a well-rounded health routine to lower his risk. Courtesy of Dr. Avishek Kumar

  • An oncologist said simple habits help him reduce the risk of developing cancer long-term.
  • He focuses on diet, exercise, and health screenings while reducing stress and exposure to toxins.
  • His best advice is to start small with consistent habits and build your healthy routine over time.
  • How does fiber lower cancer risk?
  • What household items emit microplastics?
  • How does fiber reduce cancer risk?
  • Every day, you’re making hundreds of small decisions that might be exposing you to a higher risk of cancer.

A few simple tweaks to your routine can help give you the best chance of preventing cancer, according to Dr. Avishek Kumar, a board-certified community oncologist in Edison, New Jersey.

“You can’t fully eliminate the risk of having any sort of cancer,” he told Business Insider. “But the key is reducing the odds, partaking in certain habits over the course of a lifetime, which can cut down the odds.”

Small day-to-day decisions can add up to significant protection against deadly cancers like colon cancer and lung cancer.

He shared his own routine as an example, with five key components to reduce major cancer risks.

“Simple substitutions done over weeks and months and years can really pay off vast dividends in cancer prevention as time goes on,” Kumar said. “Every given moment, we have the opportunity to take the stairs or substitute something healthy.”

He eats more fiber and fewer processed foods

When it comes to nutrition, Kumar said his approach is to imagine a farmer from a century ago, prioritizing foods they would have eaten that can be harvested, foraged, or prepared at home.

“They probably wouldn’t be eating Cheetos,” he said.

Think berries, whole grains, lean meats, eggs, and dairy. The most nutrient-dense picks are often fresh foods you’d find on the periphery of the grocery store, rather than the shelf-stable, ultra-processed food in the center aisles.

That said, it’s not realistic to completely cut out processed food, and Kumar loves a convenient trip to McDonald’s (for a Filet O’ Fish) as much as the rest of us.

For a balanced diet, he makes sure that at least one meal a day is as little-processed as possible, so he doesn’t have to stress about enjoying a brownie at work or a fast-food lunch.

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“Really, it’s a long-term effect that matters. It’s those cumulative habits substituting a healthy, unprocessed plate of berries or vegetables for one meal a day,” Kumar said.

He gets steps in early

Exercise is one of the most effective ways to prevent cancer, and it doesn’t have to take much time or cost much money. Everyday movement, like walking, running, or taking the stairs, is enough to provide a protective benefit.

Kumar said he jogs nearly every morning to get his steps in early and start the day with more energy and less stress

If you’re not a jogger or gym rat, he recommends adding a 20-minute walk to your day. Make it a habit, and build on it over time.

He protects his home from toxins

Kumar said environmental factors can play a big role in cancer risk, including items in your own kitchen or living space.

For instance, microplastics may be linked to an increased risk of cancer. The tiny particles can enter the human body through household items such as plastic food packaging or the nonstick coating on your cookware or utensils. To prevent exposure, throw out and replace old or degrading items.

“Sometimes you’ve got a pot that you really like, or a pan you’ve been using for years, and it’s kind of peeling off, but you don’t want to throw it out,” Kumar said. “Really, all those different exposures can potentially increase the risk of cancer down the line.”

Another potential carcinogen in your home is invisible, odorless, and tasteless: radon gas. Radon exposure is the second largest cause of lung cancer mortality after smoking, and it can seep into your home from the surrounding environment, Kumar said.

He recommends getting a low-cost testing kit or a device to check the radon levels in your home. If it’s high, you can install vents or other airflow systems to lower your risk.

He stays on track with screening — even if he’s super busy

With a full schedule of patients, Kumar said it’s sometimes a challenge to fit in time for his own medical appointments. Routine screenings are often the first thing to get postponed when life gets busy.

But staying up to date is crucial, since most cancers are highly treatable when caught early.

Screening recommendations from the American Cancer Society include:

  • From age 45: A colonoscopy to check for colorectal cancer, and repeated every 10 years
  • From age 40: Annual mammograms for women to screen for breast cancer. (Start younger if you have a family history of cancer.)
  • From age 50: Prostate cancer screening for men. (Start younger if you have a family history.)

“If you’re due for a mammogram, if you’re due for a colonoscopy, if it’s age-appropriate, it is a really good idea to do that because to help others, you have first to help yourself,” he said.

He unplugs to manage stress

As a doctor, Kumar said he makes a conscious effort not to spend all his time thinking about cancer. Too much stress can be a health risk in itself.

“Especially with social media, the tendency is just to scroll and, oh, that’s an interesting article, scroll some more,” he said.

His solution is “unplugging completely and sitting down in a quiet place, ideally outside, and reading a book.”

Kumar also makes a point of spending time with his wife and son on fun outings, such as a recent trip to a train museum.

Regardless of how you choose to unwind, deliberately managing stress makes it easier to stick to a healthy routine in the long term.

“Cancer prevention isn’t about perfection, it’s just about doing simple things consistently,” Kumar said.

This article is not a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always consult your qualified physician or healthcare provider.

https://www.businessinsider.com/doctor-5-step-cancer-prevention-routine-testing-toxin-removal-2026-9

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 September 24, 2026

1. Net Worth Growth Ranked by Social Class

A Wealth of Common Sense


2. Yesterday We Showed NVDA Less Expensive than Half the S&P 500……..Semiconductor Sector Cheapest in 4 Years vs. S&P

Semis valuation. “Semis are back to trading at a 13% discount to the S&P 500. That’s below the longer-run pre-AI average and marks the cheapest relative valuation in more than four years.”

Duality Research


3. MUSE Roll Out by META…..One More Good Day from New Highs

StockCharts


4. Tech Sector vs. Defensive Sector Update….Highest in 20 Years But Not Near 1999

Topdown Charts


5. S&P +88% vs. TSLA +51% 5 Year Returns

Ycharts


6. China Bots Fueling American Data Center Rage?

Axios


7. Regional Bank Index -6% this Month

CNBC


8. Crypto Infrastructure Increasingly Being Pursued Inside Traditional Banking Framework

Perplexity


9. Global View on AI Job Impact

Pew Research Center


10. Stats on Celebrity Endorsed Crypto

Cryptocurrency is almost five times as likely to be a scam

Marketwatch The ‘attention economy’ is really the sucker economy  By Brett Arends

About 10% of all crypto coins launched turned out to be outright scams, but for those endorsed by so-called celebrities, that figure was 45% to 48%.Photo: MarketWatch photo illustration/iStockphoto

New cryptocurrencies publicly endorsed by celebrities — often on social-media platforms such as Twitter — were almost five times as likely as those that weren’t endorsed to turn out to be scams and to see their value collapse to zero.

Yet those cryptocurrencies also raised about five times as much money, on average, as the ones without a celebrity endorsement, meaning that the famous face was worth an extra $80 million or more to the promoters.

These two shocking facts have been revealed by the diligent digging of finance professors Joshua White of Vanderbilt University and Sean Wilkoff of the University of Nevada, Reno. They published their findings in the peer-reviewed Journal of Banking and Finance, offering an important look behind the scenes at our modern so-called attention economy, which could better be described as the “sucker economy.”

03:42

How Net Leases Are a ‘Hybrid Between Credit and Real Estate’See All Videos

White and Wilkoff trawled through about 1,500 new cryptocurrencies launched during the mania of 2017-18. They identified the ones that had been “endorsed” during the initial coin offering — the fundraising, or launch — by a famous person, typically a cultural celebrity. Then they tracked what happened next.

‘Celebrity endorsements sell investments for the same reason they sell shoes: People confuse familiarity with trust.’

— Financial planner Aaron Gaines

Even to a cynic like me, the results were worse than expected.

While about 10% of all the coins launched turned out to be outright scams, the figure for those endorsed by so-called celebrities was a staggering 45% to 48%.

“Celebrity-endorsed [initial coin offerings] are 35 to 38 percentage points more likely to be classified as scams,” Wilkoff confirmed to me by email. “The sample average for scams is [around] 10%.” That, he noted, means the estimated rate for endorsed initial coin offerings is 45% to 48%, or roughly 4.5 to 5 times more likely to be a scam. “This is an increase of about 350% to 380%,” he added.

But for all that, the celebrity endorsements worked … at least for the currency promoters, and in many cases for the celebrities.

“Celebrity endorsements are associated with raising about five times as much capital as non-endorsed offerings,” White and Wilkoff report in their paper. “Relative to the sample mean of $17.5 million, this corresponds to an incremental increase of approximately $83 million to $104 million in funds raised.”

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-celebrity-endorsed-cryptocurrency-is-almost-five-times-as-likely-to-be-a-scam-eaf25977?mod=personal-finance

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 September 22, 2026

1. 5 Companies Revenues Most Tied to AI Build Out

Dave Lutz Jones Trading…”Some firms’ revenue is almost existentially tied to the capex decisions of one or two players. Here’s a chart showing the top five companies’ revenue dependence on the ecoverse” FT reports


2. Semi Driving 62% of S&P Earnings Growth


3. Margin Debt Still High But Cooling Off

Margin debt. “After reaching +50%, margin-debt YoY growth has steadily cooled to +37.2%. (Periods above +50% YoY are shaded in grey).”

@hbresearchx


4. MAG 7 Stocks Make New High….Catching S&P YTD

StockCharts


5. Non-Oil Energy Going Down While Energy Going Up……Clean Energy ETF -35% from Highs

StockCharts


6. TAN Solar -40% from Highs

StockCharts


7. XLU Utility ETF Negative for 2026…50day thru 200day to Downside

StockCharts


8. NYC Office Back on Top-Barrons

Barron’s


9. Residentail Investments Shrinking Slice of GDP

Advisor Perspectives


10. Why A 10-Second Balance Test Helps Predict Longevity-Arnold

Adults who couldn’t hold a 10-second one-leg stance had a higher death risk over 7 years.

Welcome to the positive corner of the internet. We’re here to make your life healthier, happier, and less stressful. At the bottom of each email, we explain our editorial process, stance on AI, and partnership standards.

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Today’s Health Upgrade

  • Number you won’t forget
  • Speak your way to better self-perception
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Fitness

Number You Won’t Forget: 10 Seconds

Many tests — from strength to VO2 max — are designed to assess longevity. But one test in particular requires no equipment whatsoever, and could highlight areas needed for improvement. 

Researchers found that a simple 10-second balance test could be one signal of your long-term health and is linked to a higher risk of early death

Scientists studied more than 1,700 adults and found that poor balance was strongly associated with all-cause mortality over the next 7 years. The test was pass/fail: you either held it for the full 10 seconds or you didn’t. 

To do it, fold your arms across your chest. Lift one leg until your thigh is parallel to the floor. Then hold the position. If you lose balance, sway, or step down, that’s when the test ends.

Even after adjusting for age, sex, weight, and health conditions, those who couldn’t balance on one leg had about an 84% higher risk of dying. 

If you can’t stand on one leg for at least 10 seconds, that doesn’t mean you should prepare for the end. Instead, balance reflects many of the attributes that truly matter for longevity.

Researchers believe a one-leg balance test is an effective test because it reflects a mix of strength, coordination, and nervous-system function that tend to decline together as we age, making it a useful snapshot of overall physical resilience.

https://arnoldspumpclub.com/?srsltid=AU7gw4WB6Oxm3jboLJe66VYgwiHBBG3rX0sg7CJ7Uf8Se5FnlFRkJR_8

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 September 21, 2026

1. Tech Stocks Seeing Highest Fund Flows Ever

Fund Flows — Tech Stocks: tech sector ETFs just recently witnessed their largest inflows ever, and now comprise around 50% of sector ETF assets under management. Investors the world over have a huge amount of confidence in the outlook for US stocks, to put it lightly.

Topdown Charts


2. These Flows Do Not Match AAII Investor Sentiment ….Highest Bears in 12 Months

Bears are at their highest level since May 2025.

Kevin Gordon


3. More than 50% of S&P Stocks Trading Below 200 Day

Barchart


4. Bond Yields in Historical Range

Capital Group


5. Hyper Scaler Debt was Addressed by Fed Chair Warsh

Dave Lutz Jones Trading One interesting point in the presser came in Warsh’s response to the rise in Treasury yields, according to Jonestrading chief strategist Mike O’Rourke. The Fed chair highlighted surging AI-related capex causing intense competition for capital. “Up until now the hyperscalers had asset-light business models generating free cash flow with almost no debt.” Those days are over, and “the rest of the AI trade is highly dependent on debt and equity capital markets to fund expansion.”


6. Bond Volatility Driving Stocks?

The Kobeissi Letter


7. The Result of Marriott Splitting into Two Companies….Marriott International Service Business Skyrocketed

The existing company would become Host Marriott. Host Marriott would receive virtually all of the physical assets such as real estate holdings, undeveloped land, and project partnerships. Importantly, they would also retain the vast majority of Marriott’s long-term debt.

The newly created company, Marriott International, would retain the service operations and intangible assets. This included the existing management contracts, franchise agreements, trademarks, etc. This business was a cash-generating machine and was left virtually debt-free.

Here’s how those two companies have performed since the separation in October of 1993:

Fiscal.ai


8. Demographics is Destiny…American Population has Shrunk Only During the Two Global Pandemics


9. Pew Research Poll Israelis/Palestinians

Pew Research Center


10. Dealing with Defensiveness

INC EXPERT OPINION BY JUSTIN BARISO, AUTHOR, EQ APPLIED @JUSTINJBARISO

Three simple phrases for dealing with defensiveness

Another effective method for dealing with defensiveness is to use self-talk. Some expressions that I’ve found helpful:

They don’t know. They don’t know what it’s like to be me or to walk in my shoes, so their comment is likely coming out of ignorance, and my dwelling on it isn’t going to do anyone any good.

I don’t know. In the same vein, I don’t know what it’s like to be them or to walk in their shoes. Maybe they’re dealing with their own insecurity, baggage, or difficult problem in their personal life, and that’s coming out in this situation.

This is not an attack. Perceived attacks aren’t always attacks. Can I see below the surface as to why the person is saying what they’re saying? Is it actually a plea for help, even if not communicated in the best way? Can I shift my focus to see how I can help the other person, to somehow create a win-win scenario, so we go from adversaries to teammates? (This one is most helpful after a pause, if the feelings of defensiveness continue to linger.)

And here’s a bonus tool you can use:

The golden question. How am I going to feel about this in five days? Five weeks? Five months? Five years? This helps me keep things in perspective.

(These are all examples of my “rules” and “words” of emotional intelligence, tools I use to help clients—and myself—manage emotions in the moment.)

All of us are human. Part of that means dealing with feelings of defensiveness from time to time. The key to effectively managing those feelings is to first understand the “why,” the root cause behind them. Then, you can use tools like the ones we’ve discussed to develop a strategy for dealing with those feelings.

The goal isn’t to end the feeling of defensiveness once and for all. But by applying these methods, you can reduce the frequency you experience it, and handle those feelings more effectively when they arise, leading to stronger relationships at work and home. That’s making emotions work for you, instead of against you—and it’s turning emotional into emotionally intelligent.

https://www.inc.com/justin-bariso/emotional-intelligence-why-how-to-stop-defensive-3-short-phrases/91404753?utm_source=newsletters&utm_medium=email&oly_enc_id=9218E7578789E9D