TOPLEY’S TOP 10 June 30, 2026

1. European Large Cap Just Breaking Out Above Year 2000 Highs

J.C. Parets


2. Broadcom AVGO -25% Correction from Highs….Co-Founder Sells $250m Stock

Barchart


3. Last Week’s Net Selling of Tech was Largest in 10 Years….Not the Usual Action in Bubble?

Hedge funds vs. Tech. Last “week’s net selling in US Info Tech – in both $ and % terms – was the largest in more than 10 years (-4.0 z score).”

Robbie Stankard – Goldman Sachs


4. Sovereign Wealth Funds Buying Hard Assets

Dave Lutz Jones Trading Sovereign wealth funds and central banks managing $29 trillion in assets ‌are turning to energy assets, and raising concerns about the dollar, in a portfolio reassessment driven by unprecedented geopolitical shifts, according to an Invesco survey published on Monday.  The survey of 90 sovereign wealth funds and 54 central banks showed an increasing focus ​on diversification, and investment portfolios that can “take a hit and still hold it together” amid trade tariffs, closed ​shipping channels and wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.


5. Old Content Dominates Viewing on Streaming

Former glories

According to the recent and aptly-named “Retro Revival” report from entertainment industry analysts at Luminate, the “2026 is the new 2016” trend that dominated social media feeds earlier this year was perhaps more prescient than it seemed at the time, with that same sense of nostalgia seeping into everything from the music we listen to and the way we listen to it, to how adverts and branding look now. Unsurprisingly, the world of TV and movie streaming has not been immune to the backward-looking movement, as content from streamers’ back catalogs increasingly comes to dominate the hours that viewers are spending on the platforms.

Across the first quarter of 2026, Luminate data shows that every major streaming platform it studied, with the clear exception of Netflix, keeps viewers hooked with older classics from its catalog, rather than fresh original content; Luminate highlighted the staying power of comfort TV like “Friends” and “Suits” as key retention drivers.

Netflix, often an industry outlier, makes sense as the sole platform where original content even nearly matches up to catalog offerings: the company has spent big on licensing and original content, laying out $135 billion over the last 10 years while other platforms, in Ted Sarandos’ words, “pull back.” Zoom out though, and it becomes clear that even Netflix’s content, alongside its competitors’, has become a little less original compared to previous years.


6. Iran War-IRGC Use of CoinEx to Avoid Sanctions

Perplexity


7. More Women in Workforce than Men

Axios


8. Data Centers by State Virginia and Texas Lead

The New York Times


9. Technology and Jobs

You’re probably doing a job that didn’t exist in 1940. Will yours exist in 2040?

New research looks at the complex interplay between changes in technology and what we do for a living.

BY Shalene Gupta

Changes in technology drive changes in work. Manufacturing jobs have slowed over the decades, while new professions such as Uber drivers and social media managers have emerged.

A recent paper published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics examined the role of technology in creating new jobs and reshaping our economy. The researchers created a database of job titles from 1940 to 2018 and used natural language processing to analyze new professions.

The researchers found that about 60% of jobs in 2018 did not exist 1940. Since 1940, the bulk of new jobs has shifted from middle-class production and clerical jobs to high-paid professional jobs and low-paid service jobs.

They also identified two different impacts of technology. First, augmentation creates new types of jobs (think social media manager) while automation reduces the need for workers of other jobs (grocery store cashiers being replaced by self-checkout). The researchers found that automation eroded twice as many jobs from 1980 to 2018 as it had from 1940 to 1980. While augmentation did add some jobs to the economy, it was not as many as the ones lost by automation.

As of yet, the researchers have no insight into whether or not AI will boost augmentation of jobs or automation. They listed this as a direction for further exploration.

“We’re in an era where we have this new tool and we don’t know what’s good for. New technologies have strengths and weaknesses and it takes a while to figure them out. GPS was invented for military purposes, and it took decades for it to be in smartphones,” lead author David Autor, a professor at MIT, told MIT News. He added: “We’re hoping our research approach gives us the ability to say more about that going forward.”

Join us in New York City this September for the annual Fast Company Innovation Festival. Advanced-rate tickets are available now through Sunday, July 12. Grab your festival passes today.

https://www.fastcompany.com/91073170/jobs-that-didnt-exist-1940-wont-exist-2040-automation-study?utm_source=news.theideafarm.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=facts-from-1h26


10. A Reality Check on the Inequality Panic

Alarmist narratives shape public opinion and encourage policymakers to pursue sweeping interventions that may do more harm than good.

By Chelsea Follett

This article appeared in Washington Examiner on March 23, 2026.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called for far higher taxation in a recent blog entry, arguing that current wealth concentration is higher than that of the Gilded Age and is about to get worse globally. The chart-topping singer Billie Eilish implored billionaires to give away their money, while New York City mayor Zohran Mamdani has gone further, opining, “I don’t think we should have billionaires” because we live in “a moment of such inequality.” If anything is having a moment, it is the conviction that inequality has grown urgent enough to justify a muscular policy response.

But the facts don’t support this. Not only has global income inequality fallen over the long run — contrary to the popular narrative — but inequality has also declined in education, health, and a host of other areas. The world is now more equal across a range of factors, from lifespan and childhood survival to internet access and schooling. The more broadly one examines inequality, the more encouraging the data appear. It turns out that even the shock of COVID-19 failed to erase decades of progress toward a wealthier and more equal world.

Indeed, the data show a pronounced decline in global inequality over the past few decades, driven largely by rising prosperity in poorer countries. During the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021, progress slowed sharply. Some indicators stalled and a few modestly worsened. But the gains accumulated before the crisis were not undone.

In short, the damage to human well-being was more limited than many feared.

Alarmist narratives shape public opinion and encourage policymakers to pursue sweeping interventions that may do more harm than good.

Another recent analysis published in The Economist finds that global inequality in consumption spending is falling. In 2000, the richest 10% of humanity spent 40 times more than the poorest 50%. In 2025, they spent around 18 times more. Using data from World Data Lab, they find that the poorest 50% now out-consume the richest 1%, breaking from past trends.

Yet many think that only large-scale redistribution can stop runaway worldwide inequality. Figures as diverse as Amodei, Eilish, and Mamdani are far from alone in embracing this view. Over the past few years, calls for a worldwide wealth tax, a vast increase in foreign aid spending, and other unprecedented measures are gaining steam across academia, non-profits, the press, and international organizations like the United Nations.

That conclusion is premature. Getting the facts straight is essential, because misunderstanding global inequality can push policymakers toward harmful solutions.

The record on foreign aid is far less encouraging than its advocates suggest: decades of evidence show that aid frequently fails to deliver sustained development and bears no reliable relationship to long-term economic growth. Worse, the fixation on ever larger aid flows often crowds out the harder work of domestic reform. In some cases, foreign aid has been shown to weaken political institutions, entrench bad governance, and slow the process of democratization.

Wealth taxes have their own problems, from high administrative costs and enforcement challenges to low revenue production and invasion of financial privacy. These problems help explain why so many of the countries that have implemented wealth taxes in the past — such as France, Germany, and Sweden— later abolished the tax. Perhaps the worst of all, by discouraging risk-taking, wealth taxes suppress investment and growth, effects that would be felt in both rich and poor countries and would likely prove especially damaging to development in the world’s poorest economies.

Recent work on multidimensional inequality suggests that the world has not been drifting toward ever greater gaps, but that the rich and the poor have been converging in material comfort. Calls for global wealth taxes or massive new aid programs often rest on the assumption that international trade and economic freedom have failed to deliver broadly shared gains. Yet the long-term evidence suggests the opposite.

The pandemic offers two lessons here: First, it highlights just how sensitive progress is to disruptions in markets. It depends on conditions that allow growth to occur and persist, including functioning markets and stable institutions. Many of the proposed policy solutions risk undermining that progress.

The second lesson is that while the pandemic represented a hurdle in the path of progress, the long-term trend toward lower global inequality is holding strong.

Alarmist narratives shape public opinion and encourage policymakers to pursue sweeping interventions that may do more harm than good. A clearer view of the data counsels caution rather than panic.

Chelsea Follett

https://www.cato.org/commentary/reality-check-inequality-panic

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 June 29, 2026

1. Goldman Earnings Growth 2026—43% QQQ and 41% Small Cap


2. The Bond Bear Market-2010’s 3.2% Return…2020’s 0.6% Return

The bond bear market. The 2020s (so far) are the worst decade ever for bond investors:

 A Wealth of Common Sense


3. The Russell 1000 Growth and Russell 1000 Value Share 246 Names

Savvy Investor


4. Healthcare Services ETF XHS-Breaks Higher After Going Sideways for 3 Years

StockCharts


5. Leveraged Bull and Leveraged Bear Gold Miners Wiped Out—Leveraged ETFs Not Buy and Hold

Morningstar


6. Hormuz Traffic Increasing but Well Below Pre-Collapse Levels

Hormuz traffic. “Tanker traffic through Hormuz is recovering, but remains well below pre-collapse levels … Activity has clearly moved off the lows seen from late-February through early June, but the rebound is still modest versus the 50-80 tanker-crossing range seen earlier in the year.”

@m_mcdonough


7. Record $17 Billion Estimated Stolen in Crypto Scams and Fraud in 2025 as Impersonation Tactics and AI Enablement Surge

January 13, 2026 | Chainalysis Team TL;DR

  • We estimate $17 billion was stolen in crypto scams and fraud in 2025 — as impersonation scams show massive 1400% year-over-year (YoY) growth. AI-enabled scams were 4.5 times more profitable than traditional scams.
  • Major scam operations became increasingly industrialized, with sophisticated infrastructure, including phishing-as-a-service tools, AI-generated deepfakes, and professional money laundering networks.
  • Strong connections to East and Southeast Asian crime networks were identified, particularly through forced labor compounds in Cambodia, Myanmar, and other regions, where trafficking victims are forced to operate scams.
  • Law enforcement made record-breaking seizures, including a 61,000 bitcoin recovery in the UK and a $15 billion seizure linked to the Prince Group criminal organization, showing improved capability to combat crypto fraud.

https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/crypto-scams-2026/?utm_source=news.theideafarm.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=facts-from-1h26


8. America-Only the South is Growing Under 18-Year Old Population

Axios 


9. Where Do Americans Gifts Go? Barrons

Barron’s


10. VO2 Max-Doctor Hyman

Linkedin

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 June 26, 2026

1. Hyper Scalers vs. Chip Stock Free Cash Flow

Holger Zschaepitz


2. Along with Data Center Buildout…Hyperscalers have $850B in Off Balance Sheet Leases

Bloomberg


3. AI Scaling 3x Faster than IT Build Out

AI economy. “AI is scaling three times faster than any IT wave”.

Exponential View


4. This Chart Shows SMH Semiconductors vs. Mag 7 Stocks MAGS

StockCharts


5. History of Bitcoin -50% Drawdowns

Bespoke The chart below shows Bitcoin in the year after each of the prior periods when prices first fell 50%+ from an all-time high. One of the things you always hear about Bitcoin after it sees a large decline like the current one is that “prices always come back”. That’s an accurate statement, but after prices experienced a 50% haircut in the three prior periods, the road back to new highs wasn’t necessarily short or smooth.

As shown in the chart, one year after each of the prior three periods, Bitcoin was lower a year later than it was when the drawdown first reached 50%. Not only that, but in two of the three periods, it barely even experienced a bounce. The one exception was after the June 2021 drawdown when prices quickly rebounded to new highs, but almost as quickly returned back to new lows. Perhaps the best thing Bitcoin has working in its favor is that you don’t hear much about $500,000 or even million-dollar price targets anymore.

Bespoke


6. United Kingdom Market Underperformance

Abnormal Returns


7. Hedge Fund Managers Earnings Dwarf Pro Athletes

Meb Faber


8. Households Sitting on $3.2 Trillion in Cash Plus $8 Trillion Money Markets

Household cash. “U.S. households are sitting on $3.2 trillion of cash”.

Deutsche Bank via @gunjanjs


9. Home Price Increases by State 2021-2026

Visual Capitalist


10. 10 Meaning Questions for Your Midlife and Retirement

Reflections to make a difference in the direction and quality of your life.-Psychology Today Elaine Dundon

Key points

  • Retirement can often present a crisis of meaning.
  • It is up to us to determine how we will embrace midlife and beyond.
  • Our choices are shaped by our inner perception of ourselves.

We are the ship that travels our life’s journey, our odyssey. Along the way, we encounter many adventures; some enjoyable, some challenging, some upsetting.

The phase of retirement and our corresponding older years represent a time where we are faced with new challenges. It is up to us to determine how we will embrace this new phase: growing, evolving, and actualizing our potential; or instead, stagnating, complaining, and even ending up further adrift or shipwrecked.

Socrates, an ancient Greek philosopher, taught us the importance of asking questions to raise our awareness of our thinking patterns, to uncover our biases, assumptions, and blocks, and importantly, to see the direction and consequences of our current thinking.

10 “Meaning Questions”

Here are 10 “Meaning Questions,” derived from my research in MEANINGology, designed to stimulate your deeper understanding of yourself as you prepare for, hopefully, a happy and very fulfilling future:

  1. Our choices are shaped by our inner perception of ourselves. Do you believe you are now too old to change the direction or the circumstances in your life?
  2. In what ways do you feel discontent with your life, question your past decisions, or feel that you failed to manifest the life you thought you would have by now?
  3. Who will you be without the identity you have adopted from your previous jobs, titles, and trophies; social status; or material possessions?
  4. What do you need to do to live more authentically—to stop living by other people’s expectations and instead live a life truly your own?
  5. Do you dread the future or do you see a vibrant future, full of hope and possibility?
  6. Do you prefer the safety of staying the same and within the current borders of your current life or do you want to embrace the challenges of change and growth?
  7. What dreams have you lost along the way? What have you always wanted to learn and experience?
  8. How do you plan to build new social friendships so that you will feel alive and connected and to combat potential loneliness in the future?
  9. How will you contribute to humanity and help to make the world a better place in this next phase of your life?
  10. What is limiting you from moving forward?

Retirement can present a crisis of meaning when we leave the safety of our jobs and find ourselves without the structure of work and without a sense of identity and belonging.

Remember, just because you may have been able to save money for your retirement does not mean you will live a meaningful life during your later years. Life with money but without meaning suggests you are simply surviving, not thriving. As I shared in our book, Prisoners of Our Thoughts1, the world-renowned psychiatrist and existential philosopher Viktor Frankl so wisely concluded, “Even more people today have the means to live but no meaning to live for.”

Now is the time to start reflecting and asking these existential questions that will truly make a difference both in the direction and the quality of your life in midlife and beyond. Outside forces may control the external circumstances but you control your internal world. Importantly, your choices create your own unique journey or odyssey in life. It is up to you. You are the captain of your life voyage! Every day is a new day to be enjoyed, not simply endured.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-search-for-meaning-after-age-50/202606/10-meaning-questions-for-your-midlife-and

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 June 25, 2026

1. META, MSFT, NFLX Drag on Mag 7

Spilled Coffee


2. Historical IPO Chart

@Charlie Bilello


3. Hedge Funds All-In on Chip Trade

Mike Zaccardi


4. U.S. Dollar Breaking Out to New Highs


5. Dollar Going Up Investors Exiting Gold


6. Dollar Going Up Investors Exiting Bitcoin

The Kobeissi Letter


7. MSTR -38% 2026

StockCharts


8. History of One-Day Semiconductor Sell Offs

Marketwatch  By Steve Goldstein Microchip stocks tumbled on Tuesday, but a look at similar one-day downturns in the semiconductor sector shows the declines are often fleeting.

Tom Lee, the usually bullish head of research at Fundstrat, found 17 other examples of semiconductor stocks falling at least 6% in a single session since 2011, after the VanEck Semiconductor ETF 

 fell 7% on Monday. That exchange-traded fund is still up 73% this year, driven by the price hikes that producers of memory chips and other semiconductors have been able to pass along to companies building out artificial-intelligence applications.In the previous 17 episodes, Lee said, the median one-month gain for the stocks was 12%, with wins 88% of the time. The median three-month gain was 23%, also with an 88% win rate, and the median six-month gain was 39%, with a 94% win rate.

Marketwatch


9. Oil Gives Back All of the Iran Rally

StockCharts


10. 10-Year Treasury Yield Following Oil Down….Below 4.5%

CNBC

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 June 24, 2026

1. SPACE X Erased $400B in Value 2 Days


2. Record Amount of Retail Investor Buying in SPCX Last Week

Zerohedge-Vanda Track was even more effusive, and in a retrospective published earlier on Monday wrote that “SpaceX’s first week of trading was one for the record books. Retail investors bought a net $405mn of SPCX during its first 5 trading sessions, comfortably the strongest retail IPO debut in recent history. Retail buying was extreme during the first few sessions before moderating later in the week. The flow profile increasingly resembles a retail investor that is building long-term positions rather than chasing a short-term meme stock.”

ZeroHedge


3. AI Corporate Spend Concentrated at Top

The Daily Spark


4. But Number of Adults at Home Using AI Chat Box Increasing

Pew Research Center


5. U.S. Leading in Quantum Computing

Semafor


6. No One Invests in Treasuries Anymore

Callum Thomas


7. IBB Biotech ETF Breaking Out to New Highs

Google Finance


8. How Many 4th Graders in Your State are Proficient in Math

USAFacts


9. WSJ Poll

WSJ


10. Discipline = 3 Core Habits

Discipline essentially comes down to mastering three core habits: setting clear priorities, showing up consistently even when unmotivated, and delaying gratification. Together, these practices shift discipline from a fleeting feeling into a sustainable, everyday system.

Google