Topley’s Top 10 – July 22, 2021

1.  The market has never run this far this quickly to a multiple this high.  

KCR Concepts-Record Returns & Record Prices:

  • The chart shows the rolling annual returns of the S&P 500 since 1963 
  • We put the Price to Sales ratio above the years that returned over 40% (the 96th percentile) 
  • In the year ending March 1998 the market rose 48% and was valued at 1.8x sales – a level which was a precursor to the final run higher into the peak of the dot.com bubble 
  • The 12 months ending in March 2021, the S&P was up 56% – the third highest return in history 
  • Post this 56% run the market hit 3.0x sales, valuing the market higher than the peak of the speculative bubble in 2000  

The market has never run this far this quickly to a multiple this high.   Massive stimulus from the federal reserve, record low bond yields and investor enthusiasm have sent equities markets to peak returns and peak valuations.   

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