1. 10 Year Treasury Yield Closing in on 1%
10 Year Treasury Yield

Macau Gross Revenue-Bloomberg
Travel agents say that interest in visiting Macau has been weak because of inconvenient new requirements for those crossing the border between it and mainland China, such as a negative virus test. Any resurgence of coronavirus infections could also lead to abrupt new border controls imposed by China, and holiday makers don’t want to run the risk of being stranded in Macau. Meanwhile, vacation destinations on the Chinese mainland, such as the southern province of Hainan, are proving an alternate draw with such perks as duty-free shopping. Only five of 23 Macau hotels surveyed by Morgan Stanley were fully booked for the Golden Week holiday as of mid-September, down from 19 a year earlier.

Barrons
How do you identify a zombie firm? Principal Global offers a guide: companies that can’t cover interest costs twice with the previous year’s pretax earnings; whose spread between return on equity and cost of equity is less than four percentage points; whose one-year and average three-year sales growth is less than 3%; and whose Altman Z-Score—a measure of liquidity, solvency, and profitability sometimes used to predict bankruptcy—is below 1.8.

The Pandemic Has Swelled the Ranks of Zombie Companies. Here’s How to Recognize Them.
Continue readingINSIDERS SELL– S&P 500 execs sold shares of their own firms at a rapid pace in the last month. The selling picked up so much versus buying that a measure of insider velocity tracked by Sundial Capital showed the fastest exit since 2012. About $975 million of stock was dumped last week, more than twice the prior week, SEC data compiled by Bloomberg show. Their purchases increased by roughly 10% to $11 million.

Now is not a good time to be actively investing in small-cap U.S. stocks. That’s because small-caps typically lag their larger counterparts during the fourth quarter.
Take a look at the accompanying chart, which plots the average monthly return advantage that the smallest stocks have over the largest. (The exact definitions of these two hypothetical portfolios are provided on the website maintained by Dartmouth College professor Ken French.)
