Daily Top Ten – October 7, 2016

1.British Pound has a 6% Flash Crash Last Night

 The crash was reportedly triggered by a Financial Times articles stating French President Francois Hollande wanted to be hard on Britain in Brexit negotiations. That pushed the pound lower, triggering some algos to automatically sell. Thin trading volumes meant the impact of this was outsized and created a downward spiral as the slump triggered more algos to sell.

Kathleen Brooks, Research Director at City Index, says in an email on Friday morning: “Apparently it was a rogue algorithm that triggered the sell off after it picked up comments made by the French President Francois Hollande, who said if Theresa May and co. want hard Brexit, they will get hard Brexit.

“These days some algos trade on the back of news sites, and even what is trending on social media sites such as Twitter, so a deluge of negative Brexit headlines could have led to an algo taking that as a major sell signal for GBP. Once the pound started moving lower then more technical algos could have followed suit, compounding the short, sharp, selling pressure.”

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“Dream On” Presidential Election and Rate Hike Cycle Threaten the Markets

“I know nobody knows
Where it comes and where it goes

I know it’s everybody sin
You got to lose to know how to win”

— Aerosmith

The next big worries putting pressure on the markets are the presidential election and the inevitable rise in interest rates. Some would argue that these headwinds are ultimately linked by politics. Although Republican nominee Trump may be the most unpredictable wildcard of all-time, we know from past letters pertaining to short-term volatility that “You got to lose to know how to win…” as legendary Aerosmith lead singer, Steven Tyler, would wail.

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