Topley’s Top 10 – January 23, 2023

1. Peak to Trough Internet Bubble History

Kailash Concepts https://kailashconcepts.com/


2. Most Crowded Trades January 2023

FW: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/long-chinese-stocks-seen-among-most-crowded-trades


3. Growth Vs. Value Forward P/E Spread Collapses.

Liz Ann Sonders Schwab https://twitter.com/search?q=liz%20ann%20sonders&src=typed_query


4. Netflix Rallying Back to Resistance

NFLX almost back to April 2022 levels still below 200 day

www.stockcharts.com


5. More Inflation Decline Data…How do Equities Perform After Inflation Peak?

Invesco

2023 Outlook Roadmap to Recovery update.pdf


6. Vanguard Long Duration Treasury Rally.

Long-Duration Treasury ETF Rallies to Red Downtrend Line Dating Back to 2020…

www.stockcharts.com


7. Tax Receipts Up 52% from Two Years Ago

Wolf Street Blog-The path that government spending has been on for the past three years is clearly wrong-headed. And maybe someday, when interest expense eats up 50% of tax receipts as it did in the 1980s – and not 22.9% as it does today – then just maybe we might see some real discussion and action in Congress about curtailing these ridiculous deficits. But we’re a million miles away from that. And the Fed is doing exactly what it needs to do — hiking interest rates — to curtail inflation and to gently begin nudging Congress to take the deficits a little more seriously.

Tax receipts spiked by 21.5% year-over-year and by 52% from two years ago. This is what pays for the interest expense:


8. U.S. Home Starts Fell for First Time Since 2009

Found at The Daily Shot Blog https://dailyshotbrief.com/


9. Some home builders are offering mortgage rates as low as 3%. Here’s how — and why — they’re doing it.

Aarthi Swaminathan-Marketwatch

Home builders are playing hardball by offering mortgage rates as low as 3% on new homes to boost buyer demand

Home builders are playing hardball by offering mortgage rates as low as 3% on new homes to boost buyer demand. So how and why are they doing that?

For starters, home builders are feeling a lot less gloomy these days, as mortgage rates dip and buyer demand picks up. Mortgage demand surged on Wednesdaywith buyers rushing in to catch a dip in rates.

“There is considerable pent-up demand for people to get into homeownership,” Jason Will, senior vice president of market growth at Embrace Home Loans, told MarketWatch. The lender is based in Newport, R.I., and generated over $6.5 billion in mortgages in 2022 for 20,000 homeowners.

Some builders are upping the ante by offering very low interest rates for buyers.

In California, Pacific Point Communities is offering a 4-bedroom home at a mortgage rate as low as 2.75%.

In Texas, Pulte Homes is offering a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 4.25% for single-family homes from three to five bedrooms.

And in various parts of the country, K. Hovanian is offering a fixed-rate mortgage at 4.99%.

Yet, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is at 6.04%, according to Mortgage News Daily, which is still double where it was a year ago.

By offering to bring buyers’ mortgage rates down, these home builders are throwing out concessions instead of cutting prices to entice buyers stuck on the sidelines.

How exactly can builders offer such low rates? 

Home builders have more margin built into their financial model that allows them to offer bigger concessions to homebuyers, Embrace’s Will explained.

Margin refers to the profit builders make selling a new home, after accounting for construction costs, and other expenses.

“They’re able to use [that] to finance both permanent and temporary buydowns that allow for lenders to offer lower introductory rates,” Will continued.

A mortgage-rate buydown is when a seller pays to cut the buyer’s mortgage rates by a certain number of points for a set number of years (or permanently).

The process is complex on the back end. Embrace Home Loans works months in advance with a builder to “lock in” mortgage rates with a forward commitment.

Once the builder comes to the lender and says they’re expecting a set number of buyers for their units, Embrace buys options, Will explained, and locks out rates before the homes are sold.

Some builders are eating the difference between the prevailing mortgage rate and what consumers will accept, just to get inventory moving and empty homes off their back.

Then these “locked” mortgages with fixed low rates are passed from the builder to the prospective buyer. “And so it’s a way of the builder being able to create a competitive advantage for themselves,” Will said.

Put simply, some builders are eating the difference between the prevailing mortgage rate and what consumers will accept, just to get inventory moving and empty homes off their back.

“Buyer incentives were widespread and construction costs were generally high, putting downward pressure on builders’ margins,” the Dallas Fed reported in the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book survey.

Builders also lowering mortgage rates to get around reducing prices, as this can affect the value of homes that have already been sold, Will said, and also their ability to raise prices on future homes.

Economists expect mortgage rates to drop further over the course of the year. That’s no doubt good news for the many buyers who are wading back into the real-estate pool.

“We’ve seen a few quarters of stagnation while consumers have been waiting” for rates to drop, Will said. “And now we’re seeing green shoots of that — they’re beginning to get back into the market.”

Got thoughts on the housing market? Write to MarketWatch reporter Aarthi Swaminathan at aarthi@marketwatch.com

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/some-home-builders-are-offering-mortgage-rates-as-low-as-3-heres-how-and-why-theyre-doing-it-11674145343?mod=home-page


10. 10 Traits of High Sales Performers

By Jeffrey Gitomer | August 7, 2022 | 

I once read about a big benefits-management company that conducted a survey where it asked 365 CEOs and sales-management executives, “What are the three key factors that separate high-performing sales professionals from moderate- to low-performing sales professionals?”

Both CEOs and C-level sales executives (all people who don’t sell, but rely on their salespeople to get paid) ranked self-discipline/motivation as the most important factor.

Next in line were customer knowledge, innate talent/personality and product knowledge. Further down the list were experience and teamwork skills. Totally bogus.

These are qualities of corporate greed, not value, service or help—the three things that customers require to give you their business and maintain loyalty.

If you’re interested in the most important qualities of a high-performing salesperson, let me give you a realistic list of the characteristics needed for success:

Perpetual, consistent positive attitude and enthusiasm

This is the first rule of facing the customer, facing the obstacles, facing the competition, facing the economy and facing yourself.

Belief that the customer will be better off

Unwavering belief in your company, in your product and in yourself are the first three parts. But most critical is that you must believe that the customer is better off having purchased from you.

Use of creativity

Use creativity to present ideas in the customer’s favor and to differentiate yourself from the competition.

Ability to give and prove value

Prove the value of your product or service, as well as your ability to give value to the prospect beyond the sale so you earn the order, the reorder and the loyalty of your customers.

Ability to promote and position

Your use of the internet to blog, create e-zines, utilize social media and achieve top-ranking in Google searches leads customers to perceive you as a value-provider and a leader in your field.

Exciting, compelling presentation skills

You must develop not just solid communication skills, but superior questioning skills, listening skills and a sense of humor, as well as the innate ability to capture the imagination (and the wallet) of customers.

Ability to prove your value and claims through the testimony of others

Testimonials sell where salespeople can’t. The best salespeople use video testimonials to support their claims. But you don’t get testimonials; you earn them. Same with referrals.

Ability to create an atmosphere where people want to buy (because they hate being sold)

This is done by engaging and asking, not presenting and telling. Make your customers feel as if you are working with them to find them the best product possible, not just telling them what you think would be best.

Ability to build a relationship, not hunt or farm

I wonder if the executives talking about the factors of great salespeople are the same one who are dividing their salespeople into hunters and farmers. Great salespeople are relationship-builders who provide value and help their customers win. They possess unyielding personal values and ethics. It’s interesting that 365 executives don’t deem those qualities to be in the top 10.

The personal desire to excel and be their best

This is a desired quality of every salesperson, but the best salespeople have mastered the other 10 elements. And the key is that all 10 must be mastered in order for this quality to manifest itself.

There is no prize in sales for second place. It’s win or nothing. The masters know this and strive for—fight for—that winning edge.

This article was published in February 2010 and has been updated. Photo by Krakenimages.com/ShutterstockJeffrey Gitomer

https://www.success.com/jeffrey-gitomer-the-ten-traits-of-high-sales-performers/

 

Topley’s Top 10 – January 18, 2023

1. Big Tech Got Smaller

Big Tech Bubble:  Big Tech is smaller now.

(but still big)

Source:  @DisruptorStocks  From Callum Thomas Chart Storm  https://chartstorm.substack.com/


2. Invesco Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary

You can equal weight sectors like the index…..RCD 50day thru 200day to upside.

www.stockcharts.com


3. High Yield ETF

HYG-50day thru 200day to upside

www.stockcharts.com


4. FANG Plus Index Held Low

www.stockcharts.com


5. Disney Stock Breaks Above Red Downtrend Line Going Back to 2021


6. International Value Bullish Charts.

EWJV MSCI Japan Value 50day thru 200day to upside

IVAL International Value 50day thru 200da to upside


7. Ethan Allen Interiors New Highs

www.stockcharts.com


8. Natural Gas Demand in China

S&P Global China’s average annual increase in natural gas demand is expected to exceed 20 Bcm in the 14th Five Year Plan (2021-2025) and reach 430 Bcm in 2025, which will be slower than the average annual growth of 11.1% seen during the 13th Five Year Plan, according to state-owned CNPC’s think tank Economics & Technology Research Institute.
Analyst Cindy Liang     Shermaine Ang 

https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/natural-gas/010721-commodities-2021-chinas-natural-gas-demand-set-to-hit-new-record


9. Subleases space available double 2019

BY STEPHEN NEWBOLD-COLLIERS

Sublease Space Levels Off, but Market Impact Varies – Knowledge Leader – Colliers Commercial Real Estate BlogKnowledge Leader – Colliers Commercial Real Estate Blog

 

Most New Apartments Since 1986

Michael Tucker-mtucker@mba.org  Multifamily Completions Jump; Rents Stall – MBA Newslink


10. What Makes Some People More Productive Than Others

by Robert C. Pozen and Kevin Downey HBR

So what should professionals take away from the results of our survey?  If you want to become more productive, you should develop an array of specific habits.

First, plan your work based on your top priorities, and then act with a definite objective.

  • Revise your daily schedule the night before to emphasize your priorities. Next to each appointment on your calendar, jot down your objectives for it.
  • Send out a detailed agenda to all participants in advance of any meeting.
  • When embarking on large projects, sketch out preliminary conclusions as soon as possible.
  • Before reading any length material, identify your specific purpose for it.
  • Before writing anything of length, compose an outline with a logical order to help you stay on track.

Second, develop effective techniques for managing the overload of information and tasks.

  • Make daily processes, like getting dressed or eating breakfast, into routines so you don’t spend time thinking about them.
  • Leave time in your daily schedule to deal with emergencies and unplanned events.
  • Check the screens on your devices once per hour, instead of every few minutes.
  • Skip over the majority of your messages by looking at the subject and sender.
  • Break large projects into pieces and reward yourself for completing each piece.
  • Delegate to others, if feasible, tasks that do not further your top priorities.

Third, understand the needs of your colleagues for short meetings, responsive communications, and clear directions.

  • Limit the time for any meeting to 90 minutes at most, but preferably less. End every meeting by delineating the next steps and responsibility for those steps.
  • Respond right away to messages from people who are important to you.
  • To capture an audience’s attention, speak from a few notes, rather than reading a prepared text.
  • Establish clear objectives and success metrics for any team efforts.
  • To improve your team’s performance, institute procedures to prevent future mistakes, instead of playing the blame game

https://hbr.org/2019/03/what-makes-some-people-more-productive-than-others?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=hbr&utm_source=LinkedIn&tpcc=orgsocial_edit

 

Topley’s Top 10 – January 12, 2023

1. Alibaba Almost a Double Off Bottom

BABA $59 Low in November to $155 Last


2. China Re-Opening Watch Copper…Copper 50% Consumed by China

JJC Copper ETF 50day approaching 200day to upside

Statista-Distribution of refined copper consumption worldwide in 2021, by region

https://www.statista.com/statistics/693466/distribution-of-global-refined-copper-consumption-by-region/


3. Europe 50 Bullish Chart Action

Stoxx Europe 50day thru 200day to upside


4. Industrials U.S. Sector Approaching Break-Out Highs

VIS ETF Held 200 Week Twice in 2022


5. IWM Russell 2000 Small Cap 4th Run Since November Above 200day


6. Jack Ablin with Chart on Months to Economic Indicator Lows After Fed Stops Raising Rates

Jack Ablin Cresset Capital–We expect economic indicators to begin to fall in line with interest rate reality in 2023. However, history suggests the full impact won’t be felt for many months, considering peak tightening, according to the futures market, isn’t expected until sometime in Q2. S&P profits could bottom in 2024 and unemployment may not peak until 2025, if this tightening cycle follows historical norms.

How Interest Rates Will Affect the Economy in 2023 | Cresset Capital


7. U.S. Natural Gas Exports vs. Imports -WSJ

https://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-and-gas-are-back-and-booming-11673363006?mod=business_lead_pos5


8. Russian prisoners sent to the front lines in Ukraine have been publicly executed for not charging into enemy fire, captured inmates say

John Haltiwanger -Business Insider

A Ukrainian military member on the front lines in Donetsk, Ukraine, December 4. Narciso Contreras/Getty Images

  • Captured members of a Russian mercenary group say defiant troops are publicly executed in Ukraine.
  • The infamous Wagner Group has recruited prisoners to fight on the front lines.
  • One captured former inmate described many of the recruited prisoners as “completely insane.”

Top editors give you the stories you want — delivered right to your inbox each weekday.

Captured Russian inmates who have been sent to the front lines in Ukraine as part of the Wagner Group, an infamous mercenary organization with ties to the Kremlin, say they’ve witnessed public executions of deserters and disobedient troops, according to a Tuesday report from Polygon Media and the independent Mozhem Obyasnit news outlet. 

“Those who disobey are eliminated — and it’s done publicly,” Yevgeny Novikov, a former inmate who the report said was recruited by the mercenary group, said, according to a translation of the report from The Daily Beast.

Novikov said there were “squadrons of liquidators” that dealt with troops considered problematic.

In one instance, according to The Beast’s translation, Novikov said: “Shelling began, one of the prisoners laid down and didn’t cover his own [men]. The shelling stopped, he went back, and the higher-up shouted to him: ‘Why didn’t you go forward?’ And they killed him. The higher-up is killed if his team deserts.”

https://www.businessinsider.com/russian-prisoners-wagner-group-ukraine-executed-deserting-disobedient-report-2023-1


9. Golden Globes Viewership -75% From Early 2000’s Peak

www.chartr.com


10. Why We Overeat?

Psychology Today Thomas Rutledge Ph.D.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-healthy-journey/202301/why-we-overeat

 

Topley’s Top 10 – January 11, 2023

1. TWO CHARTS TO WATCH IN JANUARY..GOLD AND DOLLAR

GLD-50 DAY ABOUT TO CROSS ABOVE 200 DAY TO THE UPSIDE (BULLISH)

U.S. DOLLAR 50DAY ABOUT TO CROSS THRU 200 DAY TO DOWNSIDE (BEARISH)

WWW.STOCKCHARTS.COM


2. TIP CHART STRAIGHT DOWN

TIPS SOLD OFF MOST OF 2022…CLOSED BELOW 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE ON LONGER-TERM CHART


3. HOUSING MAKES UP 1/3 OF CPI BUT REPORTING LAGS SIGNIFICANTLY

Important New Inflation Indicator Joseph Politano -Apricitas Economics

Using the same underlying BLS microdata that composes the housing component of the CPI, the NTRR uses information on lease turnover to track rent growth in units that change tenants. The ATRR covers all housing units but attributes rent changes to when they happened, as opposed to the official CPI data which tracks price changes when units are surveyed.

HTTPS://WWW.APRICITAS.IO/P/THE-MOST-IMPORTANT-NEW-INFLATION

FROM BARRY RITHOLTZ THE BIG PICTURE HTTPS://RITHOLTZ.COM/2023/01/10-TUESDAY-AM-READS-410/


4. WORLD WRESTLING 5 YEARS +180% VS. S&P +40%

WWW.STOCKCHARTS.COM


5. Chips Made in USA May Cost Up to 50% More than Asia

Barrons–Chang has said that factories in the U.S. won’t be cost competitive with the firm’s Taiwan fabrication plants, or fabs. Chips currently made at the company’s Oregon site cost 50% more than the same semiconductors made in Asia, Chang said during an interview last year at the Brookings Institution.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/tech-stocks-employees-layoffs-consumer-demand-51673021476?mod=past_editions

Taiwan Semi 25% Bounce Off Bottom

www.stockcharts.com


6. Huge Move from Bond Mutual Funds to Bond ETFs

BND Chart –Barrons Todd Sohn, ETF strategist at Strategas, says the bond bear market accelerated the shift, noting that over the past 12 months, a record $634 billion has moved from bond mutual funds into ETFs.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/bond-funds-investing-portfolio-income-generating-51672717225?mod=past_editions

BND Vanguard Total Bond ETF-Hits 200day Twice in Past Month


7. San Fran Public Transportation No Recovery…Wolf Street Blog

https://wolfstreet.com/2023/01/09/are-tech-layoffs-in-san-francisco-and-silicon-valley-the-latest-hit-to-bay-area-rapid-transit-bart/


8. Small Business Confidence Sliding Lower

From Dave Lutz at Jones Trading NOT CONFIDENT– U.S. small-business confidence slid to a six-month low in December, according to a survey on Tuesday, which also showed that inflation and worker shortages remained major issues for firm owners.

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said its Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.1 points to 89.8 last month – the lowest since June – amid a decline in the share of owners who expected better business conditions over the next six months.

The net share of owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months fell to -51% last month from -43% in November. It was -61% as recently as June.  Thirty-two percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem, unchanged from November and 5 points lower than July’s reading, which was the highest since the fourth quarter of 1979


9. Not Surprising But % Of Homes Selling Above List Plummets

From Liz Ann Sonders Schwab Perhaps no surprise but % of homes selling above their list price (as of November 2022) has fallen to 30%, which is way below peak of 53% in March 2022 (Redfin)

(99+) Liz Ann Sonders | LinkedIn


10. WHAT STATES ARE THE WORST IN….

NO ONE CAN BE GOOD AT EVERYTHING! THESE ARE EACH STATE’S WORST QUALITY

The key to being successful in life is knowing your strengths. However, you also need to know where you fall short in order to improve. As much pride as we each have in America and our home states, it’s important to recognize that there are things each of us can do to make our states more wonderful.

https://dailytimewaste.com/article/tw/1106113480/maps-that-reveal-curious-truths-about-america/?utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=z7-us-d-mapustwt-sv-tw156-6&twclid=23r1ze0ulfbgl17jjbiv3h6130&pg=18

Topley’s Top 10 – January 10, 2023

1. S&P Dividend Yield vs. Treasuries 2022

Bespoke Investment Group Blog Two years ago at the end of 2020, the S&P’s dividend yield was higher than the entire Treasury curve except for the 30-year. Fast forward to now and the S&P’s dividend looks puny compared to 4%+ yields on T-Bills.

https://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/research/think-big-blog/


2. One Bullish Factor for Markets…Sentiment at Extreme Bearishness.

From Dave Lutz Jones Trading Reminder from Last Week, BofA notes the extreme bearish sentiment of Analysts is very bullish for Stocks.


3. Consumer Confidence at Historic Lows

https://am.jpmorgan.com/content/dam/jpm-am-aem/global/en/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/mi-guide-to-the-markets-us.pdf\


4. And Presidential Cycle Seasonality Positive.

Presidential Cycle Present?  We know seasonality works different in bear markets vs all markets, but still a very interesting chart considering where sentiment is.


5. Jeremy Siegel Wisdom Tree “Inflation Basically Dead”…I  Agree.

The broad U6 measure of unemployment dropped to an all-time low in the nearly 30-year history of the series. The labor force participate rate increased, bringing some workers off the sidelines and that also is positive for wage gain moderation.

The bottom line of all this price and inflation data: all measures are very encouraging and inflation is basically dead in my view. Commodities and natural gas prices in particular, have just plummeted with warmer weather. Gas prices are way off their highs.

What does this mean for the Fed? There is widespread expectation of a 25-basis point hike at the February 1st meeting. I reiterate I don’t think the Fed should do this hike, as the cumulative tightening is enough. But if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports come in as I expect and softer, there is a chance the February hike is the last of this cycle.

Weekly Siegel Commentary – Weekly Siegel Commentary (wisdomtree.com

US U-6 Unemployment Rate U-6 Unemployment Level

Measures the percentage of the U.S. labor force that is unemployed, plus those who are underemployed, marginally attached to the workforce, and have given up looking for work.
6.40% for Dec 2022


6. Credit Boom…$1.2Trillion in Loans Made 2022

JOSEPH WANG  FED GUY

https://fedguy.com/credit-boom/


7. CNBC REAL ESTATE-Consumer confidence in housing finally rises, thanks to falling home prices

Diana Olick@IN/DIANAOLICK@DIANAOLICKCNBC@DIANAOLICK
KEY POINTS

A monthly housing sentiment index from Fannie Mae showed sentiment improving from November to December.

The share of respondents saying now is a good time to buy a home was still low, at just 21%, but it was up from 16% in October and November.

More consumers now believe home prices will fall in the next 12 months, and more also said they believe mortgage rates will come down.

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/09/consumer-confidence-in-housing-rises-as-prices-fall.html

https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/surveys-indices/national-housing-survey


8. Good News…U.S. Patents Being Granted at Record Rates

Yesterday was the final day of the Consumer Electronics Show (CES), the world’s largest tech trade show, which has been offering a glimpse into the future of consumer tech for more than 50 years. This year’s show, attended by roughly 100,000 tech enthusiasts, included color-changing cars, urine-scanning devices and an oven that prevents burnt food.

The innovation acceleration…

Many of the innovative technologies displayed at CES are likely covered by a patent — and digging through patent filings is a good way of picking up on future tech trends. Filings mentioning “metaverse”, for example, have risen significantly, as have those mentioning “foldable technology”, “electric vehicles” and “sustainable technology”.The total number of patents filed in the US has also risen, with record numbers being granted in recent years. That trend has also been reflected globally, with 2021 setting a new global record number of IP filings for patents, trademarks and designs to protect innovations — with Asia filing 64% of the 1.7 million patents filed worldwide.

… or just a paperwork pile-up?Preparing a patent submission usually requires lawyers or experts, and total costs can routinely run into the many thousands for complex ideas or submissions. That is why tech giants, who can monetize their intellectual property more efficiently than individual inventors, always top the patent tables.

Interestingly, IBM — which topped the patent league tables for 29 years in a row before losing its crown to Samsung — has just switched tack. The company dropped its patent count by 44% last year in a bid to free up resources from the time-consuming patent process.

www.chartr.com


9. Rolls-Royce heralds ‘momentous year’ as car sales exceed 6,000 for first time

Yahoo Finance Neil Lancefield, PA Transport Correspondent

Mon, 9 January 2023 at 8:06 am GMT-5·2-min read

Rolls-Royce Motor Cars has exceeded annual sales of more than 6,000 cars for the first time in its 118-year history, the company announced.

It said it achieved “particularly strong year-on-year growth” during 2022 in the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, the USA and Europe.

A “single-digit” drop in sales was recorded in Greater China – which includes mainland China and areas such as Hong Kong – due to “ongoing headwinds” but this was “successfully counterbalanced by increased sales in other markets”, according to the car maker.

– ADVERTISEMENT –

Some 6,021 cars were delivered to customers last year, a rise of 8% compared with 2021.

The value of bespoke commissions also reached record levels in 2022, with clients “willing to pay around half a million euros (£440,000) for their unique Rolls-Royce motor car”, according to the BMW-owned company.

Demand for all models “remains exceptionally strong” with advance orders “secured far into 2023”, it added.

Rolls-Royce Motor Cars chief executive Torsten Muller-Otvos described 2022 as a “momentous year” for the company, which is based in Goodwood, West Sussex.

He said: “Not only did we reveal Rolls-Royce Spectre, our marque’s first ever fully-electric series model to the world, it was also the first year we ever delivered more than 6,000 cars in a single 12-month period, with strong demand across our entire product portfolio.

“But as a true house of luxury, sales are not our sole measure of success: we are not and never will be a volume manufacturer.

“Bespoke is Rolls-Royce, and commissions were also at record levels last year, with our clients’ requests becoming ever more imaginative and technically demanding – a challenge we enthusiastically embrace.”

He added: “This success has not been achieved overnight.

“In 2023, we mark the 20th anniversary of the home of Rolls-Royce at Goodwood, during which time we’ve transformed our business through a long-term strategy based on continuous and sustainable growth, careful management and planning, an unwavering focus on profit and a respectful but forward-thinking reinvention of the Rolls-Royce brand.”

More than 150 jobs were created at the company’s headquarters in 2022, taking the site’s total workforce to 2,500.

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/royce-royce-heralds-momentous-car-093000116.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZHJ1ZGdlcmVwb3J0LmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAABaxgD3vkantSTwAN56dkGoK5Rw4d0avaQdTYY4dZpKMm37KUbi7qfWvfEPXfGUTvf3kHVb0bG-6PfoWwUl51m1W7S20zZHY2xyE8ppACsZJCnzORY_snAgRU7ShuWE9bKufrCJiWpaLAvDlqxJp0gVoos2gM_BiDcIqGIGQU0yw


10. A New Study Shows Improved Health and Increased Longevity Come Down to the Rule of 72-104

Want to live a longer, healthier life? How much water you drink can be a major factor. 

BY JEFF HADEN, CONTRIBUTING EDITOR, INC.@JEFF_HADEN

What do you and ice cream have in common? You’re both about 60 percent water. 

What you don’t have in common — assuming ice cream doesn’t lounge around thinking deep thoughts — is the effect water has on your mental abilitiesStudies show you need be only 1 percent dehydrated to experience a 5 percent decrease in cognitive function, and a 2 percent decrease in brain hydration can result in short-term memory loss. 

And then there’s this: A National Institutes of Health study just published in eBioMedicine found that not drinking enough water is also associated with a significantly higher risk of developing chronic diseases, a higher risk of dying early, and a higher risk of being biologically older than your chronological age. 

What you also don’t have in common with ice cream is that longevity matters. (Since ice cream is my healthy-diet Achilles’ heel, it has an extremely short life span in my house.) 

Obviously, we all want to live long, healthy lives. But longevity is also an important factor in success. The longer you live, the more likely you are to be able to start a thriving business.

The longer you live, the more you can leverage the power of time. As Morgan Housel writes in The Psychology of Money, “Effectively all of Warren Buffett’s financial success can be tied to the financial base he built in his pubescent years and the longevity he maintained in his geriatric years. His skill is investing, but his secret is time.”

So yeah: Drinking enough water matters. 

How Much Water Should You Drink?

First a little background. Serum sodium levels in your blood increase when you drink less fluids. 

When the researchers analyzed data collected over a 30-year period, they found that: 

People with serum sodium at the higher end of the normal range had worse health outcomes than those at the lower end of normal.

People with high levels of serum sodium had a 15 percent higher chance of being biologically older than their chronological age, and a 64 percent higher risk of developing chronic diseases like heart failure, stroke, chronic lung disease, diabetes, and dementia.

People with extremely high levels of serum sodium had a 50 percent higher risk of being biologically older and a 21 percent higher risk of dying early. 

The tricky part, of course, is knowing your serum sodium levels. But since serum sodium levels are typically a lagging indicator of fluid consumption, drinking enough water should, for most people, be sufficient.

According to the National Academy of Medicine, women should drink about 72 ounces of water per day, men 104. (The actual fluid intake amount needed is higher, but we also get liquid from water-heavy foods like fruits, vegetables, and, um, ice cream.) You might need more, depending on your level of physical activity, but that’s a good place to start.

Since keeping track is a pain — and because we all tend to overestimate the “good” things we do and underestimate the “bad” — the key is to follow a few simple rules. 

For example:

Drink an eight-ounce glass of water before every meal. If you’re trying to lose weight, that’s a great double dip, since you’ll partly fill your stomach and feel full faster. Three meals? Twenty-four ounces.

Use a water bottle to keep track. Mine holds 32 ounces. I put a piece of tape on the cap and mark off how many times I empty it. Drinking two bottles puts you over or close to the target, respective to gender, and three well above. I usually drink four in a day, so I’m more than good to go (frequent bathroom visits pun intended). 

Easy. And effective.

Also keep in mind that other liquids count. If you drink a bottle of diet soda a day, that counts. Coffee counts. Tea counts.

Yeah, you could get all technical and say caffeine is a diuretic and liquids with caffeine shouldn’t count towards your target, but then again, research shows caffeine doesn’t appear to increase the risk of dehydration

So keep it simple. As with most things in life, success is based on doing the right things most of the time. You don’t have to be perfect. Didn’t drink enough fluids today? 

No problem. Get back on track tomorrow. 

The key is to focus on doing more of what is good for you, and do it more often. That approach is not only good for improving your health and longevity, but for achieving anything worthwhile.

Because we are what we are, but with consistent effort over a period of time, we can become what we hope to become.

Including a lot healthier, over a lot longer lifespan.

https://www.inc.com/jeff-haden/a-new-study-shows-improved-health-increased-longevity-comes-down-to-rule-of-72-104.html?utm_source=newsletters&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=INC%20-%20This%20Morning%20Newsletter.Newsletter%20-%20Inc%20-%20This%20Morning%201-9-23&leadId=1548979&mkt_tok=NjEwLUxFRS04NzIAAAGJNYVV–c63qBlbHUVjStpSnENYk4h88Lk_30LLUBcZi34lky88nHFfby0aZqbbK5wX1MS9ZhAQzO0Vlot30UfkkLP5rB1oMqRq5NnSM_t