Topley’s Top 10 – December 15, 2021

1.Bonds Worst Inflation Adjusted Returns Since 1980

The federal government’s debt has already lost about 2% outright over the past year as the Federal Reserve started removing pandemic-era stimulus from the economy and inched closer toward raising interest rates. But on top of that, the consumer price index has surged 6.8%, putting investors even deeper in the hole.

Taken together, that’s resulting in the worst real returns — or those adjusted for inflation — since the early 1980s, when then Fed Chair Paul Volcker was in the midst of fighting a wage-price spiral. What’s more, the dynamic isn’t expected to change: The bond market is projecting that 10-year Treasury yields will hold below the inflation rate for the next decade, meaning any investment income will be more than wiped out by the rising cost of living.

Bond Traders Stare at Worst Real Returns Since Volcker Era

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-13/bond-traders-stare-at-worst-real-returns-since-paul-volcker-era?sref=GGda9y2L

2.Charts from 2 Big Insider Sales TSLA and MSFT

Musk Sold Shares….Tesla clean close below 200 day after failing to make new highs.

Microsoft CEO sold large stake-Fails to make new high approaching 50 day.

www.stockcharts.com

3.Hong Kong Market Trading Below Book Value.

Hong Kong’s main stock benchmark is trading below book value. Yup, the entire index. @DavidInglesTV

https://twitter.com/DavidInglesTV

4.Fund Managers at 5.1% Cash….10 Year High

Fund managers dashed for cash in anticipation of more aggressive Federal Reserve policy, according to the latest survey conducted by Bank of America.

The allocation to cash rose to 5.1% in December from 4.4% in November, the survey of 371 panellists running $1.1 trillion in assets under management found. The survey was conducted between Dec. 3 and 9.

Fund managers dash for cash ahead of Fed decision https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fund-managers-dash-for-cash-ahead-of-fed-decision-11639485080?mod=bnbh_mwarticle&link=sfmw_tw

5.AAPL, MSFT, NVDA,TSLA, GOOGL Have Contributed 51% of S&P Returns Since April

Goldman Rings The Alarm On Collapsing Market Breadth: 51% Of All Market Gains Since April Are From Just 5 Stocks-BY TYLER DURDEN Goldman then calculates that just the five most popular tech names – AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, GOOGL – have contributed 51% of S&P 500 returns since April. After contributing over double their starting weight to the index’s return, these stocks now make up 22% of the S&P 500 by market cap, a 4% increase from the start of the year.

Outside of these 5, the table below shows the 25 S&P 500 stocks that made the largest absolute contributions to the index YTD.

Good Full Read Below

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-rings-alarm-collapsing-market-breadth-51-all-market-gains-april-are-just-5-stocks

6.It’s 5 Tech Stocks and Defensive Consumer Staples Leading Since November

Chart-Consumer Staples Breaking Out vs. S&P…..Megacap tech and consumer staples lead.

https://lplresearch.com/2021/12/14/record-high-for-the-consumer-staples-sector/

7.Lithium Benchmark +240% YTD

WSJ–By Amrith Ramkumar

https://www.wsj.com/articles/lithium-prices-soar-turbocharged-by-electric-vehicle-demand-and-scant-supply-11639334956?mod=itp_wsj&ru=yahoo

8.Population Growth of Prime Age Workers is Set to Slow thru 2025

John Burns Real Estate-Today’s labor shortage was perfectly predictable.
So is tomorrow’s labor shortage.
Immigration policy can move the needle, but the growth of the 80s, 90s and early 2000s will almost certainly not return.

https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnburns7/

9.Omicron 3% of Cases in U.S. Last Week.

Barrons

https://www.barrons.com

10.How to turn the 2 fears that most often lead to failure into strengths, according to a successful entrepreneur

Daniel Cáceres and Nathan Rennolds ,

There are ways to turn your fears into motivation. PeopleImages/Getty Images

  • Fear is natural. It often just means you’re stepping out of your comfort zone.
  • If you let it to get the better of you, though, it can stop you getting ahead — in and out of work.
  • The founder of a professional development program, Raul Villacis, gave his tips to beat two fears.

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Fear is a natural way of telling you that you’re leaving your comfort zone and you should pay more attention to what you’re doing.

It can become a major problem, however, if it starts to dominate your mind — it can lead you to make bad decisions, both in daily life and at work.

You may find that you’re too afraid to ask for a raise or that you’re too scared to start the business you’ve always dreamed of starting.

In situations like this, fear causes you to fail. Fortunately, there are ways to turn your fears into motivation.

Raul Villacis, entrepreneur, investor, and motivational speaker, explained in a video for Entrepreneur the two most dangerous types of fear in the workplace and how to use them as motivation.

Fear of not being good enough

The first fear is the fear of not being good enough. Villacis explained that this fear stems from our ancestors, who had to hunt for their survival.

“The fear that if they were not good hunters, they would die,” he said.

That same fear still exists today, even though we no longer have to go out and hunt for our food.

Overcoming this fear is all about understanding that you’re working towards a better future.

“Yes you’re going to mess up, yes you’re not going to be perfect, but at the same time find the edge, meaning can you create progress every day?” Villacis said.

“Your job is not to be the best today. Your job is to create progress,” he added.

Fear of not being liked

The second fear that can harm your career is the fear of not being liked.

The good news is that this fear can motivate you to be a good person or a good worker.

However, it’s also easy to fall into the trap of constantly seeking appreciation, and this will always leave you feeling that you’re not good enough.

According to Villacis, the trick here is to understand that the most important thing is that you like yourself.

“The most important person that you have to be one with, that you have to love, is yourself,” he said.

The key is to truly realize and accept one thing.

“I am not perfect. But I am a work in progress,” he said.

for the virtual world

Read the original article on Business Insider España. Copyright 2021.

This post has been translated from Spanish.

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