Topley’s Top 10 – November 02, 2023

1. P/E Rations Magnificent 7 Vs. The World.

A once-in-a-generation opportunity (rbadvisors.com)


2. Three Consecutive Down Months for S&P


3. Another Consumer Stock Gaps Down….EL…$340 to $105


4. Vanguard REIT Index Breaks Below 2022 Lows.


5. Public Markets vs. Private Equity Size…Torsten Slok Apollo


6. Net Worth Boom


7. U.S. Homes 3.4 Months Supply for Sale.


8. Share of U.S. Borrowers in Mortgage Delinquency at 25-Year Low

Found at Michael Batnick Blog https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/


9. Britian From Imperialism to Exporting Elite Private Education


10. Pitfalls That Destroy Organizational Trust-HBR

by Frances X. Frei and Anne Morriss Facebook made “Move fast and break things” an informal company motto. But leadership experts Frances Frei and Anne Morriss argue that this belief is deeply flawed — and that it keeps leaders from building a great company.

The best leaders move fast and fix things — they solve hard problems while making their organizations stronger. In their new book Move Fast and Fix Things (Harvard Business Review Press), Frei and Morriss outline five strategies to help leaders tackle their hardest problems and quickly make change:

  1. Identify your real problem. (See 10 Signs Your Company Is Resistant to Change)
  2. Build — or rebuild — trust with your stakeholders.
  3. Create inclusive conditions that allow your whole team to thrive. (See 10 Reasons Why Inclusion Is a Competitive Advantage)
  4. Tell a compelling story about the change you need to make.
  5. Execute your plan with a sense of urgency.

This month, we’ll be publishing a series of excerpts that correspond to each strategy. In this excerpt, Frei and Morriss explain that, just as with personal trust, organizational trust relies on the presence of authenticity, empathy, and logic. But most organizations are shaky on at least one of these trust pillars.  Which ones are getting in the way of your organization’s progress? 

In order to trust you as an organization, your stakeholders need to believe three things: that you care about them (empathy), that you’re capable of meeting their needs (logic), and that you can be expected to do what you say you’ll do (authenticity). Just like when people lose trust, organizations that are losing trust — or failing to build as much trust as they could — tend to get shaky or wobble on one of these three dimensions. Below is a list of some of the trust problems we see most frequently in our work, along with what they reveal about what’s getting wobbly.

 1. Aversion to making choices

This one can present in all kinds of ways, from managing for consensus to trying to be great at everything you do as an organization. A gentle reminder: although it may feel safer to hedge your bets, catering to a constituent that can be best described as “everyone” is often a much riskier path for the company. Your refusal to choose is increasing the likelihood of exhausted mediocrity. Trust wobble: logic.

2. Reliance on heroic employees

Many business models are designed for employees we wish we had, not for the employees we actually have — the ones with imperfections and lives outside of work. If your operations depend on people continuously going above and beyond, then be prepared to work much harder to find these magical creatures and reward them with outsize compensation. Few organizations are truly up for the task. Trust wobble: logic.

3. Shiny object syndrome

The human brain is wired to focus on the new, new thing, even when the old, old thing matters more. A lack of intention (also known, less cheerily, as lack of discipline) in the pursuit of new opportunities puts your business model at risk. Excellent adventures in new products and markets are often justified by hazy ROI equations that inflate the upside and downplay the risk, including the cost of distraction from more urgent priorities. May be accompanied by other types of magical thinking. Trust wobble: logic.

4. Disengaged middle management

Managers in what we call the “murky middle” of an organization are often the only people who know the true distance between a company’s reality and its ambition. They know how much effort it’s going to take to win, understand the true hazards of the journey, and typically have the most to lose (and least to gain) along the way. And yet, instead of being unleashed in moments of big change, middle managers are often overlooked by a leadership team that’s focused on inspiring the front lines and gaining buy-in at the top. Trust wobble: empathy.

5. Casual relationship with other people’s time

Do you treat your people’s time as if it’s your most strategic asset? It’s one of our favorite leadership reflection prompts, and you’ll hear us repeat it again and again. Far too many organizations are far too comfortable wasting their employees’ time on everything from clunky HR software to forcing everyone to come into the office to indulge a nostalgic view of what work used to feel like. The opportunity cost is immeasurable. Trust wobble: empathy.

6. Comfort with collateral damage

This is the “break things” part of “Move fast and break things,” which can get embedded into an organization’s culture. It often presents as desensitization to unintentional harms and justified by a “We tried our best” storyline. Organizations that would never tolerate this attitude when it comes to some parts of the business (“We tried our best to protect our financial data!”) often want participation trophies for trying not to harm their users and employees. Trust wobble: empathy.

7. High incidence of the “Sunday scaries”

If a significant percentage of your colleagues feel an impending sense of dread at the thought of coming to work, then something is strained, if not broken, in the company’s relationship with its employees. Sometimes there’s an unskilled (or worse) manager to blame, but when people are experiencing this kind of anticipatory anxiety at scale, then there’s an org-level problem that needs to be fixed. (Spoiler: You’re getting a small fraction of what your people are capable of contributing.) Trust wobble: empathy.

8. People-pleasing in the boardroom

This pattern is rooted in our human impulse to tell people what we think they want to hear, particularly when said people can materially impact our organizational and/or professional futures. We’re not talking about fraud or misrepresentation here but rather a habit of gently withholding, massaging, and constructing reality. The trust hit for this one is often higher than we think, since boards tend are sensitive to being managed and typically composed of excellent detectors of partial truths. Know that what they really want from you is the information they need to help the company solve problems. Trust wobble: authenticity.

9. Tolerance for misalignment

Is your marketing team writing checks that your product team can’t cash? Lack of alignment anywhere in the business is a problem but pay closest attention to org-level disconnects. One we see frequently is a gap between strategy and culture — for example, a strategy of innovation layered onto a culture defined by coloring within the lines. Trust wobble: authenticity.

10. Delusions of meritocracy

OK, here’s what this looks like: you’ve told yourselves you’re a meritocracy, but you keep hiring, promoting, and retaining the same types of people. If the humans at the top of your organization bear little resemblance to the rest of your employees, the customers you serve, or the demographic distribution of the communities in which you operate, then we promise you, you’re not a meritocracy. Trust wobble: authenticity.

Read more on Organizational change or related topics Change managementBusiness managementCollaboration and teamsInclusion and belongingOrganizational developmentOrganizational cultureOrganizational decision makingOrganizational transformationProject managementInnovation and Leadership and managing people

https://hbr.org/2023/10/10-pitfalls-that-destroy-organizational-trust?tpcc=orgsocial_edit&utm_campaign=hbr&utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin

Topley’s Top 10 – November 01, 2023

1. Russell 1000 Growth Holding Above 200-Day


2. Small Cap SMIN India Breaks Above 2021 Highs

Small cap India vs. Small Cap China ECNS….2023 India outperformance.


3. AAPL and MSFT Bigger Market Cap than 4 Sectors Combined


4. Bitcoin Rally………Coin Big Rally But Stays in Sideways Pattern


5. Crypto Miners MARA and RIOT

MARA still below 200day

RIOT still below 200-day


6. KBW Bank Index Trades Back to Covid Levels.


7. Eurozone Inflation Falling Rapidly


8. China Restructures Belt and Road Loans.

From Zerohedge Blog

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/chinas-belt-and-road-rescue-lending-soars


9. Case-Shiller Home Prices Rise 6-Months in a Row.

Marketwatch Aarthi Swaminathan

What S&P said: “On a year-to-date basis, the National Composite has risen 5.8%, which is well above the median full calendar year increase in more than 35 years of data,” said Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI. 

“The year’s increase in mortgage rates has surely suppressed housing demand, but after years of very low rates, it seems to have suppressed supply even more,” he added.

“Unless higher rates or other events lead to general economic weakness, the breadth and strength of this month’s report are consistent with an optimistic view of future results,” Lazzara said.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-home-prices-rose-for-the-sixth-month-in-a-row-case-shiller-says-2060f19b?mod=home-page


10. Exposure to light at night found to increase risk of depression by 30%

Found at Abnormal Returns Blog https://newatlas.com/health-wellbeing/exposure-to-light-at-night-found-to-increase-risk-of-depression-by-30/

By Paul McClure

A study has found that nighttime exposure to light increases the risk of mental illness

Depositphotos

VIEW 1 IMAGES

A new study has found that exposure to light at night messes with our internal body clock, increasing the risk of mental illness, while daytime light exposure reduces that risk. The findings offer a simple and effective, non-pharmacological means of improving mental health.

Our internal body clock, or circadian rhythm, regulates cycles of alertness and sleepiness by responding to the changes in light in our environment. While other cues such as exercise, social activity and temperature can affect circadian rhythm, light remains the most powerful influence.

It’s known that disturbances in circadian rhythm are a common feature of many psychiatric disorders. So, it makes sense that light exposure is a modifiable environmental risk factor in mental illness. To investigate, Monash University researchers led the world’s largest study on the effect of exposure to daytime and nighttime light on mental illness risk.

The researchers recruited 86,772 adult participants from the UK Biobank who were examined for their exposure to light, sleep, physical activity and mental health. They found that in those exposed to high amounts of light at night, the risk of depression increased by 30%, while in those exposed to high amounts of daytime light, their risk of depression fell by 20%.

Similar patterns were seen for self-harming behavior, psychosis, bipolar disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, and PTSD. The findings were consistent when accounting for demographic factors, physical activity, sleep, shift work, living environment and cardiometabolic health.

“Our findings will have a potentially huge societal impact,” said Sean Cain, one of the study’s co-authors. “Once people understand that their light exposure patterns have a powerful influence on their mental health, they can take some simple steps to optimize their wellbeing. It’s about getting bright light in the day and darkness at night.”

The researchers say that modern life – particularly artificial light and the light from devices like phones, computers and TV screens – has confused our internal body clocks, challenging how our brains have evolved to work best during the bright light of day.

“Humans today challenge this biology, spending around 90% of the day indoors under electric lighting, which is too dim during the day and too bright at night compared with natural light and dark cycles,” Cain said. “It is confusing to our bodies and making us unwell.”

The study’s findings demonstrate that avoiding light at night and seeking light during the day may be a simple and effective non-pharmacological way of improving mental health.

The study was published in the journal Nature Mental Health.

Source: https://newatlas.com/health-wellbeing/exposure-to-light-at-night-found-to-increase-risk-of-depression-by-30/

Monash University

Topley’s Top 10 – October 30, 2023

1. Residential Real Estate 4x Larger than Commercial Real Estate…The American Dream has a Massive $44.5 Trillion Dollar Value.

From Bramshill InvestmentsInsights | Bramshill Investments

Home Barrons–equity accounts for almost half of the median net worth of homeowners 60 and older, according to a Vanguard analysis. The average retirement savings, meanwhile, is $223,000. Home equity can provide a meaningful addition to that—provided retirees can make an advantageous move. https://www.barrons.com/articles/rising-home-prices-retirees-2e917a5d?mod=past_editions


2. Small Cap at Summer 2018 Levels


3. Dividend Yield Poor Performer 2023.


4. Semiconductor ETF Hitting 200day

Barrons By Tae Kim–Of the 115,000 new jobs needed by the U.S. chip industry by 2030, some 67,000 jobs will go unfilled, according to the Semiconductor Industry Association. The U.S. trains foreigners in its world-class education system, but immigration policies make it difficult for U.S. companies to hire them.

Intel says foreign nationals make up more than 60% of advanced science, technology, engineering, and mathematics, or STEM, degree students at U.S. universities in the technical fields necessary for chip industry jobs. The company supports providing green cards to students who earn these advanced STEM degrees. https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-stock-price-hikes-password-crackdown-5176e57b?mod=past_editions


5. Historical Returns of Stocks and Bonds with Inflation.

Capital Group

https://www.capitalgroup.com/advisor/insights/articles/fed-inflation-target-could-be-delivered-early.html?sfid=1988901890&cid=81068956&et_cid=81068956&cgsrc=SFMC&alias=btn-LP-A1cta-advisor


6. Buybacks Trending Downward.

Chart Storm Callum Thomas Q4 is typically a stronger quarter in terms of buybacks, but it is notable that the recent trend has been down in terms of buyback announcements. Some of this will have to do with the cost pressures dampening margins last year, but especially also with borrowing costs now a lot higher — making it more difficult a calculus for firms to fund buybacks with debt.

Source:  @WallStHorizon via Daily Chartbook and @MikeZaccardi


7. BMW -20% Correction


8. Homebuilders -17% from Highs


9. Top 10 Moves Between States

Axios

https://www.axios.com/2023/10/28/americans-moving-map-2022-florida-texas


10. The 5 Universal Truths of Anxiety

Psychology Today-What to know and what to do-Noelle McWard LCSW

In a previous post, “What is Your Anxiety Type?”, I described three types of anxiety, each with unique characteristics, ways in which anxiety seeks to remain in control when challenged, and solutions. Knowing your anxiety type can help you understand your anxiety in a new way, and to apply strategies best suited to address the underlying issue being expressed through your anxiety.

There are also five universal truths of anxiety, always present, regardless of your anxiety type. Within these universal truths lies important information to better understand the nature of anxiety and skills to practice when feeling anxious. 

Anxiety is an innate biological response to perceived danger and serves the essential function of keeping you safe. It is controlled by the amygdala, a cluster of cells located in the most primitive part of the brain. The amygdala has one job: to look for signs of danger.

When danger is detected, the amygdala releases hormones, one of which becomes adrenaline. Adrenaline causes, amongst other things, increased heart rate, shallow breathing and stimulated sweat glands. These functions prepare your body to fight off or flee from danger by supplying your large muscles with fuel and energy. This is commonly known as the fight, flight or freeze response. When the amygdala is activated your mind hyperfocuses on the perceived danger, and blocks access to parts of your prefrontal cortex responsible for higher-level thinking and meaning making in order to focus your mental resources solely on your survival. This is responsible for the “irrational thinking” that often accompanies anxiety. 

You likely recognize the physical symptoms of anxiety, caused by the physiological response to perceived danger. Anxiety impacts your emotional, cognitive and biological functioning. The five universal truths of anxiety address important facts for you to understand about all three impacts of anxiety.

1. Breathing is essential. 

The physical symptoms of anxiety are the result of the physiologically aroused state triggered by the release of adrenaline into your system. When in a physiologically aroused anxiety state, the most effective way to calm the body’s biological response is through deep breathing. It is physiologically impossible for your body to remain in an aroused state while doing deep breathing.

There are a number of breathing patterns scientifically proven to calm the physiological arousal of anxiety. The key to effective breathing is a slow, prolonged exhale.

Two highly effective breathing patterns are the 4-7-8 technique and box breathing.

The 4-7-8 technique involves inhaling through your nose for the count of 4, holding your breath for the count of 7 and exhaling through pursed lips for the count of 8. Repeat this pattern for as long as is necessary to lower the physical symptoms of anxiety.

For box breathing, inhale for the count of 4, hold your breath for the count of 4, exhale for the count of 4 and then again hold your breath for the count of 4. Repeat this breathing pattern until you have achieved a state of calm.

2. Your mind can hold only one thought at a time. 

While your thoughts may quickly jump from one thought to another, your mind can hold only one thought at a time. If it is focused on an anxiety provoking thought, such as “I am scared”, “This is terrible”, or “Something bad is going to happen” you will feel anxious. If your mind is focused on a neutral or calming thought, such as “I am safe”, “I can handle this”, or “I will figure this out”, you will feel calm or calmer. Therefore, focusing on neutral or calming thoughts will lower your anxiety.

Additionally, using calming strategies such as listening to music, podcasts, or guided meditations can help lower anxiety by giving your mind something soothing or positively distracting to engage with.

3. Avoidance is a common response to anxiety.

A nearly universal response to anxiety is to avoid the source of your anxiety. If you are anxious about not having enough money, you may avoid looking at your bank account. If you fear having a difficult conversation you may avoid it. While the impulse to do this is understandable, it never helps. Avoidance is nothing more than prolonged suffering disguised as safety. At best it heightens your anxiety and at worst it turns a feared outcome into a real problem.

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The only way through anxiety is to step into it. You cannot overcome anxiety from a distance. You must step into the thing that makes you anxious and tolerate the resulting discomfort to get to the other side of it.

To differentiate distraction from avoidance, avoidance is to hide from the source of your anxiety. Distraction is a tool you can utilize when stepping into your anxiety to help you tolerate the discomfort you will inevitably feel. If you are afraid of flying, avoidance would be to never fly. Distraction would be to use soothing mantras and listening to podcasts while flying to lessen and better tolerate your anxious feelings. The fear of flying, like all anxiety, can only be overcome by exposing yourself to the thing you fear.

4. In emotionally charged situations, your mind will make up stories. The stories will rarely reflect the truth.

The human mind is uncomfortable with uncertainty. It constantly makes up stories in a futile effort to know the unknown. When you are in an emotionally charged situation, around the things you do not know (what someone else is thinking, feeling or why they are behaving in a way you can observe) your mind will make up a story to fill in the blanks. The story will be a reflection of your greatest fear or vulnerability. And it will almost never be an accurate reflection of what is true.

The distress you feel will likely come more from the story your mind has created than from the facts you know in any given situation. When in an emotionally charged situation, around the distress you are feeling, check to see if your distress is based in fact, or the story you have created. Refocus your thoughts and energy only on what you know to be true.

5. There is a constant interplay between thoughts, feelings and behavior. Feelings are always the last to change.

At all times, there is an interplay between your thoughts, feelings and behaviors; each influencing the others. Feelings are always the most powerful. Changing one will change the other two. While you can choose your thoughts and behaviors, you cannot as easily choose your feelings. Feelings do not work that way. When has it ever been helpful to be told, “Just don’t feel that way?” or “Why don’t you feel this way instead?” 

When seeking to change your feelings, you must first change your thoughts and actions. You will have to do so while still feeling your uncomfortable feelings. You cannot wait for the feelings to change first. But know that by changing your thoughts and actions to align with the desired feeling, the feeling will follow.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/unpacking-anxiety/202310/the-5-universal-truths-of-anxiety

Topley’s Top 10 – October 27, 2023

1. S&P Official Close Below 200-Day Moving Average.


2. FAAANG+ Above 200 Day

But Blue Trendline Broke


3. QQQ-4 Lower Lows and 200-Day in Play


4. Majority of Sector Names in -10% Correction …This is not counting Thursday.

Nasdaq Dorsey Wright https://www.nasdaq.com/solutions/nasdaq-dorsey-wright


5. Greek Stock Market Doubled Off Bottom Before this Correction

Who had the Greece vs. China trade mid-2022?  Greece straight up vs.  China FXI ETF


6. Kering Luxury Goods Seller Missed Earnings….1/3 of Sales are to China…….Breaking 2022 Bear Market Lows.


7. Hong Kong Stock Market Approaching 2022 Bear Lows.


8. Argentina was International Performance Leader -20% Correction


9. Four Reasons the Housing Market is Broken-Ben Carlson


10. How to Be the Most Interesting Person in the Room, According to Science

The science behind owning the room in a social situation.

BY MARCEL SCHWANTES, INC. CONTRIBUTING EDITOR AND FOUNDER, LEADERSHIP FROM THE CORE@MARCELSCHWANTES

If you’re like most smart and savvy business people, you might be looking for an edge in jump-starting a great conversation at a social event. Have you ever wondered what makes some networkers more interesting and likable when it comes to connecting with others in such situations?

It starts with knowing your brain. You have this part of your brain that experts call the “deliberate system.” It’s pretty powerful when you know how to use it right. But here’s the catch: Your deliberate system, which is subconscious, is like a computer that can only handle so much data at once. So, it tends to filter out a bunch of stuff around us, which means we might miss out on essential cues and events.

What you need to avoid

Now, when it comes to making the most of this deliberate system, brain experts have some solid advice. They say to steer clear of negative stereotypes and quick judgments. Why? Because if we’ve already decided we don’t like someone, we’ll only pay attention to things that back up our opinion. It’s like wearing a pair of confirmation bias glasses. So, keeping an open mind and holding off on snap judgments is key. This way, you’re really giving your brain the chance to work at its best.

Why This E-Commerce Entrepreneur Changed Her Mind About Influencer Marketingnds of 1

Before you dive into a conversation, take a moment to figure out what you’re aiming for. This sets the tone for your whole brain operation during the talk. By having clear intentions, you are more likely to overlook any awkwardness or annoyances and be better able to notice the interesting aspects of the conversation. This will allow you to establish a strong rapport with the person you are conversing with.

Three ways to be interesting 

To become more interesting, you must focus on the other person and be genuinely curious about them. This means finding something interesting about them, something you may have learned during a conversation, and following up with thought-provoking questions. Studies show that curious people have better relationships and connect better with others.

Another way to be more interesting is to focus on the positive. Our brains are wired to scan our surroundings for rewards and threats constantly. If we focus only on the threats, we become stressed, impairing our ability to think and communicate effectively. Instead, focus on the rewards. Even if you’re nervous, try to find something interesting or fascinating in the conversation to shift your brain’s focus.

Finally, people love talking about themselves, so ask them genuine questions. By showing an interest in their story, you make yourself more interesting. Science explains that when you build others up by being curious about them and asking about their views on a topic, it’s inherently rewarding for their brains.

When asking questions, quality counts. Avoid the generic conversational starters like “What do you do?” or “Where are you from?” and instead ask more compelling questions like “What made you choose to live there?” or “What do you like the most about your job?”

By making the conversation about the other person, you train your brain to be more socially active and become the more interesting person in the room.

https://www.inc.com/marcel-schwantes/how-to-be-most-interesting-person-in-room-according-to-science.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=freeform

Topley’s Top 10 – October 25, 2023

1. US Stock Repurchases are Tracking a 3% Decline in the Third Quarter after Falling 26% in the Previous Three Months, According to Bank of America Corp. Strategists

Dave Lutz Jones Trading Corporate America’s spending on share buybacks, a driver of the US stock market rally for over a decade, is slowing in the face of higher-for-longer interest rates and an uncertain economic backdrop.  US stock repurchases are tracking a 3% decline in the third quarter after falling 26% in the previous three months, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists. Though the reversal appears to be becoming less severe, BofA says tightening credit conditions and increased cost of capital mean buybacks remain at risk.


2. Since Fed Hikes S&P vs. Small Cap

Michael Batnick Irrelevant Investor The S&P 500 is flat since the Fed started raising rates in March 2022. It’s weathered the hiking cycle much better than smaller stocks that are more sensitive to tighter financial conditions. Over the same time, the Russell 2000 is down 16%.

https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2023/10/24/facts-can-be-misleading/


3. PKW-Buyback ETF Closes Below 200-Day


4. Equal Weight vs Cap Weigh S&P


5. Chinese Real Estate Index -80%


6. Gasoline Futures Back to 200-Week Moving Average


7. 10-Year Hit 5% then Reversed Intra-Day

Bespoke Investment Group

https://www.bespokepremium.com/interactive/posts/think-big-blog/the-closer-earnings-yield-reversal-positioning-10-23-23


8. AI Website Visits.

From The Daily Shot Brief


9. Americans Car Loan Default Rates.

Bloomberg By Claire BallentineAmericans are falling behind on their auto loans at the highest rate in nearly three decades.  With interest rate hikes making newer loans more expensive, millions of car owners are struggling to afford their payments. It’s a clear indication of distress at a time when the economy is sending mixed signals, particularly about the health of consumer spending.

The percent of subprime auto borrowers at least 60 days past due on their loans rose to 6.11% in September, the highest in data going back to 1994, according to Fitch Ratings. In April that figure slipped from a previous high of 5.93% in January. But after burning through tax returns, contending with a shakier job market and grappling with still-elevated inflation, more car owners have become delinquent.


10. Poor Wellbeing Linked to Formation of New Chronic Conditions

BY DAN WITTERS AND SANGEETA AGRAWAL

  • Lower wellbeing linked to 159 extra new conditions per 1,000 people
  • Analysis tracks 3,654 working adults over three-year period
  • $101.5 billion in new annual healthcare costs linked to extra conditions

WASHINGTON, D.C. — U.S. adult workers who have poor wellbeing across most or all of the five essential elements of wellbeing are about twice as likely to report a major new chronic condition over a 36-month period of successive surveys than are their counterparts who have high wellbeing in no more than one element. Overall:

  • Those workers with poor wellbeing (defined as having high wellbeing in one or none of the five elements) developed 450 new chronic conditions per 1,000 persons three years after being initially interviewed. 
  • Those workers with inconsistent wellbeing (i.e., high wellbeing in two to four of the elements) added 330 new chronic conditions per 1,000 persons over the three-year period.
  • Those workers with holistic wellbeing (i.e., high wellbeing in all five elements) added 230 new chronic conditions per 1,000 persons over three years.

As such, out of every 1,000 full-time working adults with either poor or inconsistent wellbeing, the increased odds of developing or experiencing new diseases or medical conditions are associated with an extra 159 chronic conditions over the 36-month measurement period than what would otherwise be expected if all 1,000 workers had holistically high wellbeing.

The wellbeing classification is based on the wellbeing of each respondent at the start of the three-year window. The increased disease rate for high-wellbeing respondents is statistically lower than the rates for their lower-wellbeing counterparts.

Gallup’s five essential elements of wellbeing are:

  • Career wellbeing: You like what you do every day.
  • Social wellbeing: You have meaningful friendships in your life.
  • Financial wellbeing: You manage your money well.
  • Physical wellbeing: You have energy to get things done.
  • Community wellbeing: You like where you live.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/512750/poor-wellbeing-linked-formation-new-chronic-conditions.aspx