Topley’s Top 10 – November 15, 2023

1. Inflation Data

Nasdaq Dorsey Wright Headline and Core CPI inflation lower than expected  Today’s inflation data was exactly what the Fed and markets were looking for.

Both headline and core CPI inflation came in lower than expected, solidifying market expectations that the Fed’s rate hike cycle is over and more cuts are on tap than the Fed projects, which is a boost to markets.

Headline inflation fell to 3.2% YoY from 3.7% (chart below, orange line) and core slipped to 4.0% YoY from 4.1% (blue line). From here, many economists expect inflation to approach the Fed’s 2% target around mid-2024 (dashed arrows).

2. And..Gas Prices Down 8 Straight Weeks.

Advisor Perspectives Blog-Gasoline Prices Have Now Fallen for 8 Straight Weeksby Jennifer Nash, 11/14/23

Gas prices have now fallen for 8 straight weeks, the longest streak of the year. As of November 13, the price of regular and premium gas each fell by 5 cents from the previous week. According to, California has the highest average price for regular at $5.00 and Texas has the cheapest at $2.73.

Currently, the national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline stands at $3.35, with premium gasoline averaging $4.26 per gallon. One year ago, regular gas was priced at $3.76 per gallon, while premium gas was at $4.62 per gallon.

3. 78% of Buffett Stock Portfolio is 5 Names

WSJ By Karen Langley

4. Semiconductor ETF One Tick Away From New Highs

5. Uranium Price 15-Year Highs


6. Uranium Stock Yellow Cake

7. Small Cap Call Volume Spike

8. Office Vacancy Rates Still Rising

Zerohedge Blog According to real estate specialist Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL)office vacancy rates are higher than ever, reaching 21 percent in the U.S. and Canada in Q3 2023 and 16 percent globally, i.e. in the 100+ markets analyzed by JLL Research. In both cases, that’s an increase of 60 percent compared to pre-pandemic vacancy rates, which stood at 13 and 10 percent in North America and globally in Q3 2019, respectively.

9. K-12 Shooting Incidents.

The Daily Shot Brief Blog Food for Thought: K-12 school shootings:

Source: @TheDailyShot

10. Why Creativity Gets Driven Out of Your Organization as It Grows-INC

You need to balance rules and creativity.


As a rule, organizations in their early stages are highly creative and have few rules or low rule density. They might have a rule guiding everything they do in the business, such as “We want to make the customer happy.”

This makes sense in these early days because the goal is to do everything possible to survive.

As companies scale, rules and bureaucracy come into play to keep things organized. The catch is that entrepreneurs tend to hate rules–which is why most organizations find themselves at a crossroads if they continue to scale.

But the secret to long-term success for organizations is to find ways to instill some rule density while embracing creativity.

Finding a balance

There has been a lot of research on the concept of complex adaptive systems. These systems that can adapt and evolve embrace both rules and creativity.

Think about it: there are areas in every organization where rules make sense. You need stability and predictability, like making monthly payrolls and ensuring books are accurate. That’s why departments like HR, accounting, and even operations rely heavily on rules. In the complex system of a human being, the comparison might be things that need to happen all the time and automatically, like breathing.

But we also know what happens when rules dominate everything: it squeezes out the creativity that is vital for the organization to move ahead innovatively. The hard can push out the soft.

For example, if you want your marketing team to develop creative and innovative campaigns for your products and services, you can’t load them up with rules. The same goes for product development. You want them to think far less about following the rules and more about breaking them in search of new ideas.

The goal, therefore, is to find that balance where your organization can adapt and grow.

The role of the leader

As a leader, you should strike that balance between rules and creativity. And it’s that zone where opposing forces meet and conflict often occurs. 

You can imagine a scenario where your sales team is chasing a big $20 million deal, and they neglected to file their expense report on time–which infuriates the accounting team. What do you do? Which is more critical in this scenario: the sales team chasing the big deal or following the rules when it comes to expense reports?

Another example: When I was running an early-stage company that was scaling fast, one of my administrative leaders devised a plan to write a 50-page employee handbook with rules defining everything everyone had to do in the company.

But I saw this kind of project as a slippery slope to becoming a rules-based business at a time when we were trying to adapt and survive. So I nixed the employee handbook project in favor of a much simpler concept: our one rule was that every employee was expected to “Behave like an adult professional.” That’s it. Simple, and it provided a tremendous guiding principle for us as we continued to grow and scale the business over the next few years.  I knew that eventually, we would need to add rules as the organization scaled, but that would happen after we had refined and grown the business.

The trick, again, is balance. Low rule density when you are seeking innovation, and higher rule density when you are looking for predictability.

Adapting to the future

Every organization will face this conflict between following rules and breaking the rules in search of creativity and innovation. And the truth is, you need both. But the laws of nature tend to lead to the hard rules pushing out the soft creative ones over time. Don’t let it happen in your organization. When too many rules creep into your organization, you risk losing your ability to adapt to the future.

Why Creativity Gets Driven Out of Your Organization as It Grows |