Topley’s Top 10 – August 31, 2023

1. Novo Nordisk Riding Weight Loss Drug to Becoming Europe’s Most Valuable Company

Chart Blog Outweighed Novo Nordisk, the Danish pharma company responsible for Ozempicand Wegovy— two of the buzziest drugs in the weight loss game — has been bulking up, with its market cap. recently crossing the$400 billionthreshold, surpassing Denmark’s annual GDP.  With sales up 30%, net profit rising 43%, and supply restrictions still in place for its most popular medication, Novo unsurprisingly raised its outlook for 2023 in its report earlier this month, as demand for the company’s “wonder drugs” continues to rise.
Very good shape  The drug maker’s ascent has been meteoric, especially for a company celebrating its 100th birthday in a few months. The hype around its two flagship treatments — which both trace back to the 2012 development of semaglitude, designed to tackle type 2 diabetes — has catapulted Novo Nordisk to second on the list of Europe’s most valuable public companies, only behind luxury fashion giant LVMH. For another sense of scale, Novois now worth more than McDonald’s and Netflix combined.

The company’s become so large, the government in Denmark — a nation of fewer than 6 millionpeople — is considering publishing separate economic statistics that strip out the “Novo effect”. The pharma giant’s success comes at a good time for Denmark after one of the country’s other iconic brands, Lego, suffered a rare misstep and recorded its largest profit drop for almost 2 decades.

www.chartr.com


2. Bloomberg -US Health Officials Urge Moving Pot to Lower-Risk Category

· Change would remove drug from most restricted designation

· Cannabis industry stocks respond with double-digit jumps

By Riley GriffinIke Swetlitz, and Tiffany Kary

US health officials are recommending easing restrictions on marijuana, a move that sets the stage for potentially expanding the cannabis market across the country.

A top official at the Department of Health and Human Services wrote Drug Enforcement Agency Administrator Anne Milgram calling for marijuana to be reclassified as a Schedule III drug under the Controlled Substances Act, according to a letter dated Aug. 29 that was seen by Bloomberg News.

A DEA spokesperson confirmed the department had received the letter with HHS’s recommendation. With final authority to reschedule a drug, DEA will now initiate its own review, the spokesperson said.

Reclassification is a step short of legalizing the drug entirely, but it would mark a critical shift away from marijuana’s status as a Schedule I substance, which includes drugs with high risk of abuse, like heroin, LSD and ecstasy. Schedule III substances, such as ketamine, are seen as less dangerous and can be obtained legally with a prescription. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-30/hhs-calls-for-moving-marijuana-to-lower-risk-us-drug-category?sref=GGda9y2L

Cannabis ETF MSOS +21% Yesterday

MSOS -75% Since Inception


3. In the past 3 weeks, more than 400,000 news articles were published that mentioned China. More than 33,000 of them were explicitly negative. That’s the highest ratio in at least a decade

Dave Lutz Jones Trading CHINA PMIS– China’s August PMIs look set to show broad deterioration, with the official services gauge falling close to the contraction threshold and the manufacturing gauge showing activity shrinking at a faster rate.  Brisk travel during the summer holiday season likely failed to offset a host of negatives – including a deepening housing slump – that have hurt investment and consumption, Bloomberg says.

“In the past 3 weeks, more than 400,000 news articles were published that mentioned China. More than 33,000 of them were explicitly negative. That’s the highest ratio in at least a decade. The only other time that came close was 8 years ago almost to the day”

(SentimentTrader) – the End of 2013 was not a bad time to own China Equities.  SHCOMP rallied 159% over the next 2 years


4. China Moves Over the Last Month


5. Chinese Internet Stock ETF Sideways for Almost 2 Years


6. Tesla Used Car 38% Decline in Price


7. Crypto Saw Selling on the ETF News

https://dailyshotbrief.com/


8. Commercial Real Estate Sub-Sector Breakdown….Office 15%

https://ritholtz.com/


9. Investors Purchase on Homes -42%

Zerohedge Investors bought a total of $36.4 billion worth of homes in the second quarter, down 42% from a year earlier. That’s still above pre-pandemic levels, but dropping closer to it: Investors bought a total of $34 billion in the second quarter of 2018, and a total of $31.9 billion in the second quarter of 2019. The typical home purchased by investors in the second quarter cost $470,120, comparable with the $467,885 median price a year earlier. 

In terms of market share,  investors bought 15.6% of homes that were sold in the U.S. during the second quarter, down from 19.7% a year earlier and a record high of 20.4% in the beginning of 2022.

And while investors’ market share is still above pre-pandemic levels (15.6% compared with roughly 14% in the second quarters of both 2018 and 2019), real estate investors are steadily pulling back.Their market share has dropped or remained flat every quarter since it peaked at the start of 2022.

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/airbnb-bubble-bursts-investor-home-purchases-crash-45-biggest-drop-2008


10. The Dangers of Overthinking-Psychology Today

Overthinking can paralyse decision-making and cost your career- Eva M. Krockow Ph.D.

KEY POINTS

  • Overthinking simple decisions can lead to analysis paralysis and prevent us from making a choice altogether.
  • In sports, overthinking can result in athletes experiencing the yips, a sudden loss of skill.
  • The yips are a psychological phenomenon, which is surprisingly difficult to overcome and can cost careers.

Ever heard of Buridan’s ass? No, not that kind ofass!

I’m talking about the horse-like animal otherwise known as the donkey. More specifically, the donkey is famously stuck in a choice dilemma described by French philosopher Jean Buridan. The donkey in question faces a tricky choice. She finds herself in the middle of two identical haystacks. With both stacks equal in distance, size, and hayey goodness, the donkey has absolutely no preference for either. Deeply troubled, she looks from one haystack to the other. Which one should she choose? She supposes she might be able to gobble up both, but again: Which one should be first? The despairing ass finds herself trapped in an impossible conundrum. Hours and days pass by, until she suffers the tragic consequences of her indecision, eventually succumbing to starvation.

What do you make of this little tale? Fair enough, it’s hard to feel sorry for a donkey who starves to death with perfectly good food in plain sight. Indeed, the entire story seems somewhat far-fetched. After all, when do we ever find ourselves presented with completely identical options? And isn’t it obvious that a random choice is always preferable to starvation? Also, if the dilemma is too tough to resolve, couldn’t the ass just walk away and find herself a third haystack to munch on?

Analysis paralysis

It’s easy to discount Buridan’s ass as just another philosophical thought experiment with little real-life relevance. But hold your horses (or donkeys) and wait until you write it off completely! The starving ass offers an important lesson for human decision-making that’s often overlooked: Overthinking your choices can have dangerous consequences.

By obsessively weighing up similar or near-identical options, we stand very little to gain. After all, the outcomes are likely to be almost the same. However, the lengthy decision process may lead to unnecessary delays or even prevent us from making a choice altogether—often at a significant personal detriment. Umming and erring over which outfit to buy may mean you wear the same old clothes forever. Not being able to choose between two parties may leave you spending the evening at home alone. Struggling to commit to one of two lovers may mean you lose them both.

This phenomenon of indecision, often referred to as analysis paralysis, may be linked to perfectionist attitudes and the desire to identify the very best option, which I discussed in a recent post on satisficing. Additionally, it can be worsened by the availability of too many options, resulting in choice overload that leaves you feeling overwhelmed.

Overthinking in sports

Interestingly, the tendency to overthink choices and actions can even interfere with trained intuition and experience. A striking example of this comes from the context of competitive sports such as golf, tennis, or cricket, where skilled athletes sometimes report the sudden loss of skills acquired during years of practice. The phenomenon is commonly referred to as the “yips”, “choking,” or the “twisties” depending on the context, and research suggests it may be linked to heightened levels of anxiety, self-conscious overthinking, and perfectionism. By trying to consciously master certain movements or actions, athletes affected by the yips may end up bypassing their muscle memory and fail to perform to the standard they are used to.

Researchers have tried to understand the bizarre phenomenon through qualitative studies. One project involved interviewing competitive cricket players who had suffered the yips, and identifying common themes associated with their symptoms. Extreme anxiety and panic were reported frequently, with one interviewee explaining: “I felt very nervous and out of control—I know it sounds stupid but it was like I’d been taken over, I just couldn’t do it.” Trying to compensate for their nerves, it appeared that the affected cricketers tried to overthink and control their subsequent movements. This strategy was rarely followed by success, as illustrated by the following comment: “I was telling myself when to let it go [the ball] because I realized I was not letting the ball go at the right time, so I was saying to myself “let it go” and, of course, you can’t say that because by the time you’ve said that your arm is down on the ground.”

Sudden, cruel, and often difficult to overcome, the yips have ruined entire careers, for example, forcing gymnast Simone Biles to withdraw from the Olympics and Stephen Hendry to abandon his previously skyrocketing career in snooker.

Researchers, sports psychologists, and athletes agree that it’s hard to understand “the yips” if you haven’t experienced them yourself. If you’re struggling to understand the concept of overthinking, I leave you to ponder the following little poem:

The Centipede’s Dilemma
Katherine Craster
A centipede was happy – quite!
Until a toad in fun
Said, “Pray, which leg moves after which?”
This raised her doubts to such a pitch,
She fell exhausted in the ditch
Not knowing how to run.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/stretching-theory/202308/the-dangers-of-overthinking

Topley’s Top 10 – August 30, 2023

1. Longest Streak without 2% Move in S&P Since 2018

Dave Lutz Jones Trading The SPX has now gone more than 5 months without a 2% move.  This is the longest such streak since 2018 notes the Twits.


2. World Oil Demand Breakout

Callum Thomas Topdown Charts  Fundamental Breakout:  I’m a big fan of using technical breakouts as a prompt to take a closer look at a certain asset or market (to then go and build out the rest of the picture) —but a less common approach is to look at breakouts in fundamental indicators.

The chart shows world oil demand (across all products, think: gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, LPG, etc), what should be no surprise is the collapse in 2020 (as humanity collectively hit the pause button on travel), and also should be no surprise is the subsequent stop-start reopening rebound.

https://www.topdowncharts.com/about


3. First Solar -24% from highs since May

FSLR stock vs. Rest of solar sub-sector TAN ETF


4. September Seasonality for Stocks is Negative

The Daily Shot Brief Equities: September tends to be the worst month for US stocks.

Source: Scotiabank Economics

https://dailyshotbrief.com/


5. Buyout Debt is Back in September

Bloomberg By Jill R Shah and Michael Tobin

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-29/wall-street-preps-for-15-billion-spree-of-risky-buyout-debt?srnd=premium&sref=GGda9y2L


6. 30-Year Bond Yield Breaks Downtrend Line Going Back to 1982

www.stockcharts.com


7. Visual on Job Openings Drop…From 2000-2016 It was Below 1

Advisors Perspective Blog Job Openings Drop to Lowest Level in Over Two Years by Jennifer Nash


8. HELOCS Lowest Since 1988

Found at Irrelevant Investor Blog https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2023/08/23/animal-spirits-rates-to-the-hilt/


9. Morningbrew-Who is Building New City in Cali?

REAL ESTATE

Who’s building a new city in California?

Michael Moritz, Marc Andreessen, Laurene Powell Jobs, Patrick Collison, John Collison, Reid Hoffman

Some of the richest people in the world are (land)banking on a new California utopia.

The New York Times reports that several of the techiest bros have banded together to buy up $800 million worth of land in Solano County, California—just a few hours outside of the San Francisco Bay Area—with the intent to build a new city.

With Silicon Valley-area real estate constantly getting snapped up faster than you can say “vest,” Big Tech moguls have grown frustrated with the lack of housing options impacting their ability to expand their workforces. The new city, pitched as a clean-energy, public-transit-accessible, high-density urban area, is meant to combat the problem.

That explains why the land’s mystery buyers turned out to be a who’s who of tech entrepreneurship. The NYT found:

  • The company making the purchases is Flannery Associates, the creation of former Goldman Sachs trader Jan Sramek.
  • Investors include Sequoia Capital Chairman Michael Moritz, LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, venture capitalists Marc Andreessen and Chris Dixon of a16z, Stripe co-founders Patrick Collison and John Collison, and Emerson Collective founder (and Steve Jobs’s widow), Laurene Powell Jobs.

Will it be a real city or a pie in the sky?

To the list of billionaires above, this city represents the greatest opportunity since a man built a computer in his garage, relieving some of California’s massive housing shortage and creating thousands of new jobs, increased tax revenue, and infrastructure investment.

But…California is a notoriously difficult place to build new houses, and most of the property that Flannery bought is not zoned for residential use.

Rep. John Garamendi, who represents a district where some of the land is, told Bloomberg that Solano County’s residents would likely need to pass a rezoning initiative for the development to have a chance—and he said that’s unlikely. It probably won’t help that many residents were sued by Flannery in 2018 for allegedly conspiring to raise land prices.—CC


10. I’m the former VP of HR at Microsoft. I’ve witnessed many bad managers in my career — and they almost all had these 4 traits-Business Insider

  • Chris Williams is a former Microsoft VP of HR and a podcaster, consultant, and TikTok creator.
  • He writes that bad managers are often self-centered and overly focused on their image. 
  • Williams also says that bad managers are so afraid of failure that their teams bury any evidence of it. 

I’ve seen more than a few bad managers in my over 40 years of business, leadership, and consulting — including as the vice president of HR at Microsoft. Here are four traits I’ve seen in almost every one of them.

1. Self-centered

The most common trait I’ve seen in bad managers is a relentless focus on themselves. Everything is all about them. Whether it’s driven by ego or panic, bad managers are always worried about how they appear to others.

Bad managers stress about how they look to their boss: Do I look strong or weak? Do they think I’m an idiot? How do my peers see me? What about those above my boss?

Bad managers fret about what their team thinks of them. They want desperately to be looked up to. They must have all the answers. Rather than focus on issues, it’s all about appearances. They want to appear strong, unflappable, even invincible to their team.

A few managers do this out of ego. They need to be the center of attention, the focus of their world. They want everything in their team to be for their benefit. Perhaps to enhance their career. More often to stoke their ego.

But the egotists are the exception, not the rule. More common are the worriers. The nervous managers cowering under the weight of their own imposter syndrome. You can tell them from the egotists by their tentative approach to problems. Afraid of being exposed, they put on the bravest of faces. But it’s just a mask. Worried what others must think of them. Not realizing how rarely others ever do.

Failing to see that it’s the results that count, they worry about image. Their image. So, they try to control every aspect of their presentation to others.

Instead of working with their team to create the results that would get them notice, they make it all about themselves.

2. Input-focused

Most bad managers are inordinately focused on the inputs to their processes, not the output results of the team.

They stress about employees who are two minutes late or too often in the restroom. They track their employees’ every move, their every keystroke. They worry about hours input, not results output.

Their obsession with image spills out here as well. They stress about professional appearance, not professional results. They want everyone to always at least look busy. There’s no greater crime than a happy employee enjoying their time with their co-workers. It’s all business, all the time.

These managers relentlessly track everything, all the wrong things. They track time spent with the customer, not whether the customer was satisfied. They track keystrokes per minute, not problems resolved. They monitor employees as if they were robots, looking for the slightest variation from their ideal automaton.These managers lose sight of the forest for the trees. Instead of being obsessed with results, sales, and happy customers, they are focused on the inputs — the inputs that feel easier to control.

3. Afraid of failure

A spin off from the obsession with image, these bad managers are deeply afraid of failure. Particularly any appearance of failure that might reflect poorly on them.

Rather than embracing the odd failure as the inevitable consequence of a team that’s pushing the boundaries, these managers are obsessed with perfection. Instead of searching for causes, they hunt for someone to blame. Rather than finding a chance for all to learn, they see a reason to be embarrassed.

Outwardly, they bury any evidence of a misstep, hoping it never sees the light of day. Worried it will reflect badly on their record, they find excuses or culprits. Anywhere else to cast the negative light.

Consequently, the team becomes trained to also bury any evidence of failure.Results are even falsified to prevent disclosure of any outcome that falls short of perfection. Just like their manager, they grow averse to failure. The better to avoid the harsh consequences of discovery.

The team becomes tentative, careful in every step. No risks are taken, and no boundaries are even approached, lest the result be the smallest failing. Safe and cautious to the point of being timid, the team underperforms. Only to earn the further ire of the perfectionist in chief.Rather than push the team the bad manager plays everything safe. Rather than learn from, even embrace, failure, they lash out and bury it.

4. Information hoarder

All of this leads to a manager who treats information as a precious commodity to be hoarded — rather than a gift to be shared.

The bad manager controls the narrative both into and out of the team. They maintain strict control over communication outside the team. They monitor email and meetings, insisting on being copied or included. They meticulously review and edit every scrap of information that might find its way to the higher-ups.

Afraid of upsetting the team, the bad manager hides bad news they learn from above or around them. They portray it as heroically shielding the team from the noise. In reality, they are postponing the inevitable discovery through other sources. Without control of the news, the manager only looks worse, their greatest fear.The manager and the team soon find themselves lying to each other. And to everyone outside. “Everything’s great here; no need to worry about us.” Even as the fires of doom burn ever closer.

Teams run by bad managers often resemble cults in this way. They become isolated islands cut off from the rest of the organization. “I can’t tell you, that’s need to know” or “you wouldn’t understand” are common refrains.These teams rarely outperform, but you’d never know that from the limited available information — information hoarded jealously by their bad manager.

Managers like this are famous — for the wrong reasons

With this array of common traits, bad managers often become famous within the organization. But not in the way they would hope. They are looked on with disdain, even pity, from the outside. Smart employees warn their peers to avoid them. Refugees from the team tell stories far and wide. Many simply quit to escape the pain.

If you find yourself on their team, the best approach is to find a way out. They will likely outlast you, and wear you down.

Which highlights their most troublesome trait, the bad manager endures.  They even ramp up their tactics. Their carefully masked image of success hides them from consequences. The organization suffers, often rewarding the behavior that makes them such bad managers in the first place. Like cockroaches in the end times, bad managers find a way to endure.

Chris Williams is a former vice president of HR at Microsoft and a leadership advisor, podcaster, TikTok creator, and author.

https://www.businessinsider.com/former-vp-of-hr-microsoft-traits-bad-manager-2023-8

Topley’s Top 10 – August 29, 2023

1. Before Yesterday…The S&P Hasn’t Posted Two Straight Up Days This Month.

Elena Popina and Jess Menton Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-27/twitchy-traders-have-s-p-500-comebacks-fizzling-at-historic-pace?sref=GGda9y2L


2. Seasonal Volatility


3. Consumer Discretionary ETF Closes Below 50day


4. Monster Energy Drink-The Best Stock for 25 Years.

Barrons Jacob Sonenshine

https://www.barrons.com/articles/buy-monster-beverage-stock-price-pick-7d824e2a?mod=past_editions


5. Blockchain ETF +35% YTD…Well Off Highs.

Top Holdings BLOK etf.com

https://www.etf.com/BLOK


6. Credit Card Delinquency Rates Much Higher for Small Banks.

Despite the unemployment rate being at the lowest level in 50 years, credit card delinquency rates at small banks are at the highest level on record, see chart below. Imagine where these lines will be once the labor market finally begins to soften. Torsten Slok, Ph.D.Chief Economist, PartnerApollo Global Management


7. China Evergrande Group is Now a Penny Stock…$340B in Debt.

https://www.barrons.com/news/china-evergrande-group-ebb49806


8. Global Trade Union Membership

https://www.statista.com/chart/9919/the-state-of-the-unions/

American States with Strongest Unions

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/states-strongest-unions-2021-edition-110049868.html


9. Visual of Housing Market

From Dorsey Wright https://www.nasdaq.com/solutions/nasdaq-dorsey-wright


10. Toys for Billionaires: Sports Franchises as Trophy Assets!

Musings on Markets Blog  Full read below on valuation model for pro sports

https://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2023/08/money-in-sports-trophy-asset-effect.html

Topley’s Top 10 – August 28, 2023

1. Credit Spreads are Calm

From Ryan Detrick Credit Spreads Show No Stress

https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick


2. Key Words in Earnings Calls

JP Morgan Private Wealth Management

www.privatewealth.jpmorgan.com


3. Shrinking Number of Stocks vs. Growing Number of Private Equity Backed Companies

Callum Thomas Privatization:  This should be a shocking chart for passive index investors — more and more of the universe of US companies are ending up in the hands of private equity, with relatively fewer staying or joining public markets. One implication would be potentially a less diversified listed market over time, but also potential risks in private markets due to less transparency and greater leverage that typically comes with private equity investors. It also gives nod to the flood of capital into alternative assets in the zero-interest rate period and in the wake of the dot-com and financial crisis bear markets (that in-part drove investors into the ostensibly lower volatility of private equity vs listed companies).

Source:  Snippet Finance & DailyShot


4. Thematic ETFs See $2.6B in Outflows…Top 10 Showed some of these charts breaking down last week

Bloomberg By Vildana Hajric

A once-hot sliver of the exchange-traded funds universe focused on thematic investing is having another difficult year. 

Investors have yanked roughly $2.6 billion from these types of ETFs so far in 2023, putting them on pace for their worst year of outflows in data going back to 2001, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. If the trend holds it will be the second consecutive year of cash leaving thematic funds, the first such losing streak of the last two decades. 

Much of the cash drainage can be attributed to funds that are part of the ARK Investment Management suite, where the firm’s Innovation fund (ticker ARKK) has seen more than $450 million flee this year. Money has also come out of the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW), as well as out of the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG), among others.


5. Chinese Small Cap Stocks Approaching 10-Year Lows

ECNS Chinese small cap ETF broke 10-year in late 2022….Now making another run at new low.


6. Real U.S. Wages Moved Back to Positive Territory

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/powell-says-fed-prepared-to-raise-rates-further-to-bring-inflation-down-140514315.html


7. Average National Home Insurance Premium Increases

Barrons By Lauren Foster

https://www.barrons.com/articles/climate-change-insurance-companies-catastrophic-weather-8fdfe858?mod=past_editions


8. Number of American Flights to and From China -95% 2019-2023

WSJ-Rachael Liang

https://www.wsj.com/business/airlines/deal-to-double-china-flights-signals-u-s-airlines-stronger-hand-a789123a


9. Get Ready for $20B in Spending on Presidential Election

Chartr Blog Indeed, data from OpenSecrets reveals that the most recent presidential election set a new record as the most expensive cycle in history — and by some way, with political spending for the 2020 showdown tallying an eye-watering $14.4bn, or a staggering $16bn if adjusted for inflation.

www.chartr.com


10. Marty Zweig Investing Rules

From Meb Faber

https://twitter.com/MebFaber

Topley’s Top 10 – August 24, 2023

1. Money Market Funds Have Dominated Flows in 2023

Found at Irrelevant Investor Blog https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2023/08/23/animal-spirits-rates-to-the-hilt/


2. Equity Flows Continue to be Dominated by Tech Stocks

Tech fund flows remain strong…The Daily Shot Brief

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

https://dailyshotbrief.com/


3. U.S. Dollar vs. Bitcoin


4. Coin $114 to $73 on this Pullback


5. 20% of Private Valuation Unicorns Fall in AI Sub-Sector

Morningstar John Rekenthaler Most unicorns sell technology. One fifth of unicorn assets are in companies devoted to artificial intelligence, with another 15% in financial technology and 12% in e-commerce businesses. Software services, telecommunications, and biotechnology are also well-represented.


6. Regional Bank ETF Bounce did not get Close to 200 Week Moving Average

KRE rolling back over still above lows.


7. Threads Big Launch Falling Off vs. Twitter


8. Mortgage Applications Hit 25 Year Lows

Average Mortgage Rate

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/housing-market-outlook-mortgage-applications-rates-fed-home-prices-property-2023-8?_gl=1*760out*_ga*MTcwNTA0MjU4My4xNjYxMzU3MTY0*_ga_E21CV80ZCZ*MTY5MjgyMTkyOC42MS4xLjE2OTI4MjIwMzcuMTUuMC4w

Phil Rosen-Business Insider

https://www.cnet.com/personal-finance/mortgages/mortgage-rates-climb-higher-on-aug-22-2023-what-does-that-mean-for-you/


9. U.S. Government Debt Payments $2B Per Day

Torsten Slok, Ph.D.Chief Economist, PartnerApollo Global Management


10. 8 Mindsets to Keep You Calm and Productive Despite Increasing Demands

You may think that multitasking is the answer, but it takes a terrible toll on your productivity and health.

BY MARTIN ZWILLING, FOUNDER AND CEO, STARTUP PROFESSIONALS@STARTUPPRO

Photo: Getty Images

Unfortunately, many of the business professionals I meet these days in my mentoring and consulting activities feel perennially stressed and out of control, versus calm and satisfied with their position. They realize that their productivity is suffering, as well as their health, but they don’t know what to do about it. In my experience, it’s all about work-life balance and enjoying the role.

Over my years in business, I have accumulated a list of recommended strategies for keeping cool and calm in the face of increasing demands at work. On the top of my list is a focus on minimizing multitasking, a result of continuous smartphone and email alerts, as well as an instant gratification mentality. Trying to do too many things at the same time, in my view, results in nothing done well.

Here is my prioritized list of work management strategies I recommend to all business professionals and entrepreneurs:

1. Avoid reliance on multitasking to keep up with requests.

Take the time to fully focus on each task you are faced with, and your decisions and productivity will improve. Make every effort to have your mind be totally present for each challenge from a team member or customer. You will also find this reduces stress and allows you to stay cool and calm.

Some recent studies by scientists assert that multitasking not only reduces your output, but it also reduces your IQ. Some say that when people do two cognitive tasks at once, their cognitive capacity can drop from that of a Harvard MBA to that of an 8-year-old.

2. Schedule uncomfortable tasks when you are fresh and alert.

Practice scheduling your most onerous tasks, such as counseling team members or meeting unhappy customers, when you are most calm and collected at the beginning of a day, or when you are least likely to be distracted. Balance your time on strategy and operational issues.

In simple terms, this means managing your own schedule, rather than allowing events and distractions to manage you. Some successful people do this by establishing a routine and sticking to it, or by writing down and managing their own list of open work items.

3. Practice patience to listen before reacting out of emotion.

Always start by taking a few deep breaths to reset your mind and body when approached with a new issue. Then actively listen to input, asking questions to get to the root cause before jumping to conclusions that may be clouded by ego, biases, and previous similar experiences.

4. Look at each challenge with a fresh and clean perspective.

Avoid the tendency to jump to a conclusion based on past situations. Challenge yourself to avoid emotional reactions and look for fresh new information rather than stereotypes. Express your logic out loud and ask trusted associates to critique your perspective for credibility.

5. Seek to provide thoughtful and sincere responses to input.

This effort will force your mind to organize thoughts and structure your understanding of the issues at hand. Focus on a calm and sensitive delivery to gain the trust and credibility you need for maximum impact and following from constituents. The results will be more satisfying for you as well.

6. Find an activity to clear your head and refocus on the positives.

For some of us, that may mean taking a coffee break or a walk around the park. Let go of the hard negatives and focus on the rewards for yourself and other team members. Another alternative is to switch often to less demanding tasks, such as email or managing by walking around.

7. Avoid extended internal battles with tough problems.

Make a reasonable mental effort to understand and resolve every challenge, but don’t rehash every issue incessantly to the point of mental exhaustion and frustration. There will always be some problems that aren’t easily solved, and more pain will only make you less effective.

8. Intentionally schedule at least one enjoyable activity every day.

Try to balance the difficult tasks on your schedule, such as counseling employees, with ones you look forward to. For some of us, that may mean quiet time to contemplate strategy, or coffee time to chat with team members and customers. Celebrate even small successes.

In today’s business environment of information overload and a thousand ways to get interrupted, we all face the same pressure to move fast, and deal with the many distractions. I challenge each of you to spend more time managing your time and focus, rather than simply trying to react real-time to all the competing demands coming your way. Your career and your health depend on it.

AUG 22, 2023

The opinions expressed here by Inc.com columnists are their own, not those of Inc.com.

A refreshed look at leadership from the desk of CEO and chief content officer Stephanie Mehta

https://www.inc.com/martin-zwilling/8-mindsets-to-keep-you-calm-productive-despite-increasing-demands.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=linkedin&utm_campaign=freeform