Category Archives: Daily Top Ten

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 April 02, 2025

1. Year-Three Bull Market

Bespoke


2. 10% Correction vs. Recession

The Irrelevant Investor


3. Europe 2025 Stock Rally—Euro Growth Stock ETF Never Made New Highs

StockCharts


4. Biotech Stock Bear Market…XBI -25% from Highs…Flat Return on 5-Year Basis

StockCharts


5. Charted: How Nvidia Makes Its $131 Billion in Revenue

Visual Capitalist


6. Reddit -57% High to Low…High Beta Stocks Huge Corrections

StockCharts


7. ETF frenzy hits fever pitch with 1,000 new launches forecast for 2025

Via Investment News: After breathtaking first quarter burst of 230 new products, industry experts are starting to see a thousand-launch year ahead driven by advisors and retail investors. This year’s whiplash headlines and thrashing in equity markets have done little to slow down the ETF industry.

While tariff and economic news have commanded investor attention, exchange-traded funds issuers have kept busy: they’ve churned out more than 230 new products in the US, a record for a first quarter in data going back to 2015. In comparison, the first three months of 2024 — a year which ended up seeing both a record 700-plus launches and more than $1 trillion in fund inflows — saw 174 brand-new ETFs, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Issuers, including a growing number of asset-managers or even research shops that are debuting products for the first time, are seeing opportunities in a space that’s been attracting massive amounts of cash from institutional and retail investors alike, mostly at the expense of mutual funds. If the breakneck speed of more than 75 new ETFs on average coming to market every month continues, over 900 new ETF products could debut this year. Some industry participants say that number could go even higher.

To Amrita Nandakumar, president of ETF sub-adviser Vident Asset Management — whose clients have debuted funds in recent days — it’s possible 1,000 new products launch this year.


8. Defense Spending by Country

ZeroHedge


9.  U.S. Vehicle Sales by Country of Origin

Food for Thought: US vehicle sales by country of manufacture:

The Daily Shot


10. The Psychology of Motivation

Via Addicted2Success: No matter how worn out you might feel right now, a few small changes can give your motivation a serious boost. Below is a short list of motivation tips and ideas you can try. Pick what sounds doable and see how it goes. Little steps often have a bigger impact than you’d expect.

Create a “Daily Win” Ritual – Doesn’t matter if it’s writing down a quick list of accomplishments or celebrating a small triumph with a high-five in the mirror, acknowledging your wins keeps your spirit lifted. Even something as simple as completing your laundry or finishing a single work email counts. So count it!

Make Mornings Count – Establish a steady morning routine that gets you into gear. Maybe it’s two minutes of gentle stretching, a quick journal entry about your intentions for the day, or a little moment of positive thinking before your shower. A good start sets the tone for everything else.

Use “Odd Moments” Wisely – Try to maximize random moments—like waiting for your coffee to brew or standing in a line—by reviewing mini-goals or reminding yourself of something you’re aiming for. This helps keep your brain engaged with your goal setting plan.

Rotate Your Rewards – Similar to how you might switch playlists to stay interested, change up your rewards to keep them fresh. Maybe treat yourself to a healthy snack one day and allow yourself an extra 15-minute break the next time you hit a milestone.

Lean on Productivity Apps – Digital tools can be lifesavers. It might be a scheduling app, a note-taking system, or an AI program that helps you plan tasks. You can even ask AI for ideas on making your day more productive. The key is to pick tools that fit your style instead of complicating your routine.

Build an Encouraging Network – Surround yourself with people who uplift your spirits. This can mean positive co-workers, motivational podcasts, or even online communities that share helpful advice. Seeing others’ commitment to self discipline often encourages you to stay true to your own goals.

Keep Tracking Progress – Regularly check how far you’ve come. This doesn’t need to be an elaborate spreadsheet—just a quick note of tasks completed or personal milestones reached. Watching your progress can keep your drive alive, especially on days when you doubt yourself.

Space Out Your Responsibilities – Give yourself mini-breaks between tasks to reduce the chance of burnout. Go for a short walk, stretch your legs, or sip some water while gazing out a window. These micro-pauses clear your mind and get you ready for the next challenge.

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 April 01, 2025

1. NVDIA Charts

NVDA breaks 50-week moving average after trading above for 2+ years.

StockCharts


2. Goldman Sachs Stagflation Portfolio Winning YTD

Bloomberg


3. Stocks at Record Level of Household Assets

BofA Securities


4. Dollar Overvalued? International Stocks and Commodities Depend on Weakening U.S. Dollar

Global Markets Investor


5. Silver Breakout

StockCharts


6. Value Best Performance vs. Growth Since 2001

Bloomberg


7. U.S. Stocks vs. International Worst Quarter in 23 Years…After 16 Years of American Outperformance

Michael Burry


8. U.S. Automakers and Tariffs

Nate Silver


9.  Top 10 Countries by Natural Resources

Visual Capitalist


10. 12 Professional Power Phrases

Dr. Carolyn Frost

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 31, 2025

1. U.S. Stock Investors Bought a Record Amount of American Stock ETFs in Q1

Equity ETF flows. “US-focused ETF inflows have obliterated any other Q1 with +$137b, which is 85% of all flows. Ex-US ETF haul as actually been below avg. While headlines, HFs talk ‘exiting’ the US, ETF investors are on a buying spree for better or worse.”

Daily Chartbook


2. Tech ETF XLK at Key Levels. Back to Early March Lows…50-Day Touching 200-Day to Downside

StockCharts


3. KWEB Chinese Tech vs. XLK U.S. Tech…Big Reversal in 2025

StockCharts


4. History of Weak Q1 Tech Stocks

NDR


5. Sign of Slowing Speculation…Gamestop Bitcoin Reserve Announcement…Stock Down

StockCharts


6. Bitcoin 5 Lower Highs…Holding Above 200-Day

StockCharts


7. Europe Rally….Euro Small Caps Still Below 2024 Highs

StockCharts


8. Metals Outperformance Over S&P One-Year

Bespoke


9.  Corporate Large Caps Buy Up Venture Start Ups

Sherwood


10. The Keys to Happiness, According to the World Happiness Report

Via Psychology Today: A lot of research on happiness and subjective well-being has been done over the last fifty years or so. It seems like everyone wants to determine the exact formula for joy. While there is never going to be a specific prescription for attaining happiness, there are some important findings that can be guidelines for us. Here are five prerequisites for experiencing happiness in life:

Human beings need relationships to enjoy optimum well-being and happiness. This is a simple truth: We are born with a strong drive to establish connections with others. While many of us think that we will be happy when we find “true love,” or whatever we feel approximates that, it is not generlly romantic relationships that provide what we require for happiness. Simply having good friends who encourage and support you will contribute just as much to your overall feelings of happiness and contentment.

Being kind to others is essential to finding a sense of personal happiness. Our human brains are wired so that we feel joy when we behave in altruistic ways. Just making plans to do something nice for others – whether it’s throwing a party for a friend, volunteering for a worthy cause, or planning a monetary donation – will give you a boost and generate a sense of satisfaction and well-being.

Acknowledging the abundance of your own life, no matter how austere or extravagant it might be, and experiencing gratitude for people, experiences, and things also positively contribute to a sense of well-being. When people focus on scarcity or what is lacking, negative emotions bubble up, like envy, discontent, and resentment.

Finding a sense of meaning and purpose in your pursuits in life is necessary for contentment and happiness. Believing that you are contributing to something beyond yourself and being a part of something larger than your individual existence are also necessary to experience a feeling of peace that is a part of happiness.

Making healthy lifestyle choices in terms of your basic needs – sleep, nutrition, and exercise – also contributes to your happiness in life. Studies show that regular exercise – even just a daily walk – is highly effective in reducing depression. Contemplative activities, such as yoga, meditation, and reflection, have also been proven to reduce stress and promote well-being. And while many people think a good night’s sleep is “optional,” research shows that poor sleeping habits lead to greater stress, increased risk for cardiovascular illness, and even weight gain.

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 27, 2025

1. Its Always Something

Peter Mallouk


2. One Stock that Held Its Post-Election Rally…Fannie Mae: +400% over 6 Months

StockCharts


3. Large Bitcoin Traders are Buying

Bitcoin whales.  “The 30D position change for whales shows they’ve added +129K BTC since March 11 – with momentum picking up sharply over the past 2 days. That’s the largest accumulation rate since late August 2024, signaling growing confidence from large players.”

Glassnode via DailyChartBook


4. Put Software on Long List of Growth Sub-Sector Charts that Mirror below, pulled back to 2+ Year Trendline

StockCharts


5. Before Yesterday Mag 7 Big Bounce

It’s been a good couple of days for the Magnificent 7 stocks.

The Daily Shot


6. Interesting…Middle Class Shrink Due to More High Class Earners?

The Irrelevant Investor


7. GDP of Ukraine and Its Allies Vs. Russia

Professor Galloway


8. 700 Basketball Players Entered Transfer Portal Day 1…Private Lending Coming to College Sports

Via PitchBooK: Pitch Book Private credit lenders, usually known for financing loans to companies, may be recruited for a new role: funding athletic programs as the NCAA changes rules on compensating players.

Until now, US colleges have enjoyed an unusual advantage in their business models by not having to pay athletes.

That’s set to change. Final approval of a $2.8 billion antitrust lawsuit is imminent, paving the way for college athletics programs to share revenue with their players. The rule change could mean up to $20.5 million of direct payments to student-athletes per school, per year, starting in the 2025-2026 academic year.

Early in the quarter

College athletics programs have historically spent more than they have brought in. The new balance sheet line item on the sports programs’ balance sheets will dramatically increase capital needs that tuition increases and alumni donations can’t solve.

According to lenders, advisors, and law firms to whom LCD spoke, banks will not be able to meet the additional financing needs. What’s more, a dearth of sponsor-backed M&A and buyouts makes these opportunities more enticing for lenders with capital to put to work.

Several private credit providers told LCD they’ve already begun holding early conversations with universities and conferences about forming new lending relationships.

It’s likely that schools will need to demonstrate additional revenue streams to support any potential incoming capital infusions to offset normal operational deficits.

Randall Boe, senior counsel at Akin Gump and former commissioner of Arena Football League, says that private credit will prioritize transactions that fund projects and renovations that will generate new streams of revenue and help schools transition to the new business models necessitated by changes in the college sports landscape.


9. Egg Prices -66%

Moby.Invest


10. Brain Benefits of Walking

Dr. Hyman

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 March 26, 2025

1. 9 of 11 S&P Sectors Positive for 2025

Nasdaq


2. The Other 493 Outperforming Mag 7 by 12% YTD

Google

Google


3. Energy ETF Leading Sector…No Breakout Yet

StockCharts


4. Another 25th Anniversary of Internet Bubble Chart: Up 15% in a Month then -50% from Highs

Bespoke


5. Investors Remain Concerned About Inflation

The Irrelevant Investor


6. Buffered ETFS

Bloomberg

Bloomberg


7. China and U.S. Buying 80% of Venezuelan Crude

Kpler


8. The U.S. has Run a Trade Deficit Every Year Since the 1970’s

Capital Group


9. Navy Next Big Ship Exceeds Budget by $1.3 Billion…10% Done After 2.5 Years

Navy Frigate USS Constellation Only 10 Percent Done after 2.5 Years.

Via 1945: Physical construction began on the United States Navy USS Constellation in the middle of 2022. After over two and a half years, the ship is only 10 percent complete, according to a person familiar with the timeline.

At this pace, including the two years of design development before the building began, the ship will only be complete after nine years.

This span is twice the number of years that it would take an Italian shipyard to build the naval vessel.

The US Navy and the ship’s designers based the design of the Constellation on Italy’s Fincantieri.

The Constellation is the first of what is supposed to be a line of 20 ships.

However, even though it is being built to the original Italian design specifications, the Constellation is now projected to exceed the budgeted initial cost estimate of $1.3 billion.

Constellation was expected to be ready for commissioning in 2026. The Navy set a short timeframe for the ship’s launch because it chose a proven design, which was supposed to accelerate the production cycle.

Construction of the Constellation has presented production cycle headaches due to an extended construction time of twice the expected time to complete the Constellation, cost overruns of nearly 50 percent, problems with rising steel costs, and numerous other factors.


10. Global Developments: Military spending is beginning to rise after a prolonged period of decline

Daily Shot Brief