Category Archives: Daily Top Ten

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 December 22, 2025

1. Tech Earnings Still Rising

Earnings contribution. And finally, the Tech sector’s contribution to S&P 500 operating earnings is expected to rise above 30% by Q4’26. 

S&P Global


2. S&P Sector Performance Since October 8th

Bespoke Investment Group While the S&P 500 hasn’t really gone anywhere, sector performance has been disparate. Communication Services and Health Care are both up over 6%, and another three sectors have outperformed the S&P 500 gain of 0.3%. At the other end of the spectrum, Utilities is down over 5%, but right behind it, Technology has declined 3%. The fact that Technology, which makes up over a third of the S&P 500, has declined over 3%, and the market has treaded water, indicates a broadening of performance. It also illustrates how hard it is for the market to make headway without Technology participating.

Bespoke Premium


3. U.S. Mid Cap Stocks vs. S&P 500 Record Cheap…Below 1998 Record Lows.

Substack David Marlin

From @Callum Thomas (Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm)


4. META Cap-Ex Acceleration Projected to Continue.

FT


5. META +10% YTD vs. MAG 7 ETF +23%

Google Finance


6. China Has Doubled Its Power Capacity in 8 Years.

KobeissiLetter


7. Chinese Investment in African Mining +400% in One Year.

Google


8. Obesity Rates Declining.

Chartr


9. TikTok’s Long-Awaited Sale Has Finally Arrived. Here’s What to Know

The agreement has been years in the making.

BY AVA LEVINSON, NEWS WRITER

After years of false starts, TikTok announced a deal to sell its U.S. assets to a group of mostly American investors under a new venture. The move isn’t yet finalized, but it means the app would continue to function within the country. 

CEO Shou Chew sent a memo to employees on December 18, according to CNN

“We have signed agreements with investors regarding a new TikTok U.S. joint venture, enabling over 170 million Americans to continue discovering a world of endless possibilities as part of a vital global community,” said Chew. 

Going forward, nearly half of the new entity, TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC, will be controlled by investors including Oracle, Silver Lake and MGX. Current ByteDance investor affiliates will own around 30 percent, and ByteDance itself will control just under 20 percent.

Featured Video

The Smartland Initiative – MEDC – Webinar

The venture will be held accountable for “retraining the content recommendation algorithm on U.S. user data to ensure the content feed is free from outside manipulation,” as reported by Axios.

U.S. Government Orders

Trump has long been demanding that ByteDance sell its U.S. entity, with his first related executive order issued in 2020. In 2024 a law passed banning the app unless it was sold, but Trump continued to extend enforcement to give time for sale negotiations.    

He said in September that the administration and China had agreed to hand over control of the app to mostly American investors. 

When the deal is finalized, it “will operate as an independent entity with authority over U.S. data protection, algorithm security, content moderation and software assurance, while TikTok global’s U.S. entities will manage global product interoperability and certain commercial activities, including e-commerce, advertising, and marketing,” the memo said.

RTO Mandate

Another announcement from TikTok came yesterday, when the company told U.S. employees they’d be returning to in-person work five days a week by the end of next year, staffers told Business Insider. The rule will span several large sectors, and one employee predicts much of the company’s U.S. staff will be included in the regulation.

But that could change if TikTok finalizes the sale of its U.S. cohort. The deal is currently set to close by January 22, with approval from the Chinese government. 

www.inc.com


10. The Decline of Reading

The Financial Times has a chart about the percentage of teenagers who read in their leisure time:

Ben Carlson Blog

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 December 19, 2025

1. Bitcoin Recently Trading at .80 Correlation to Goldman Non-Profit Tech Stock Index

Sherwood


2. Yesterday QQQ +1.31% vs. IBIT (Bitcoin) -0.47%…Bitcoin was up 4% at One Point Before Crashing to Negative on Day

Ycharts


3. North Korean Hackers Steal $2B Crypto 2025

Yahoo Finance North Korean hackers had their biggest year yet for stealing cryptocurrencies in 2025. David Hollerith 

Cyber attackers sponsored by the rogue regime have swiped over $2.02 billion in crypto since January, according to the latest findings from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis.

Through early December, the Chainalysis report shows thieves supported by North Korea have stolen over 50% more in crypto this year than in 2024, bringing their total identified haul from crypto theft since 2016 to $6.75 billion.

The findings are just the latest example of how the heavily sanctioned nation has exploited security vulnerabilities in the crypto world to create a significant revenue source. As far back as 2019, national security officials for the US and UN have stated that funds stolen from these affiliated hacker groups support North Korea’s nuclear weapons and missiles programs.

“The reality is that cryptocurrency, because of its global 24/7 access, creates a unique value proposition for the regime to target,” Chainalysis head of national security intelligence Andrew Fierman said.

The crypto industry saw $3.4 billion in theft in 2025 through early December, according to Chainalysis. The bulk came from a single breach in late February, when Dubai-based exchange Bybit suffered a $1.5 billion theft at the hands of North Korea-affiliated hackers. In terms of stolen funds, it was the industry’s largest ever.

Crypto heists have become “the easiest way for DPRK cyber actors to fund their regime,” said Eun Young Choi, an attorney at Arnold & Porter and a former federal prosecutor with experience investigating cyberattacks.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/north-korea-just-had-its-biggest-year-ever-stealing-cryptocurrency-130002485.html


4. Africa ETF Break-Out +65% 2025

Stockcharts


5. Cash levels are at a record lows for Professional Managers

Businessinsider

BofA Global Fund Manager Survey


6. However American Households Hold Record Cash

Household cash. “Households continue to hold near-record cash balances (98th percentile historically), leaving substantial dry powder should confidence and risk appetite continue to improve. We see this ‘buy-the-dip’ behavior, every day in our data at Citadel Securities.” 

Scott Rubner – Citadel


7. Current Passive AUM = $24 Trillion….Flows 2025

Zerohedge


8. Lennar Home Builder Average Price Sold Post Covid.

Wolfstreet


9. Lennar Stock Back to 2023 Levels.

Stockcharts


10. Zillow’s Top 20 Most Popular Housing Markets (2025)

The following cities comprise the top of Zillow’s annual “Most Popular” list, which focuses on where shoppers are most active:

  1. Rockford, Illinois (Ranked #1 overall)
  2. Berkeley, California
  3. Albany, New York
  4. Dearborn, Michigan
  5. Toledo, Ohio
  6. Carmel, Indiana
  7. South Bend, Indiana
  8. Abilene, Texas
  9. Springfield, Illinois
  10. Allentown, Pennsylvania
  11. Cincinnati, Ohio
  12. Columbus, Ohio
  13. Virginia Beach, Virginia
  14. Cleveland, Ohio
  15. Miami, Florida
  16. Boston, Massachusetts
  17. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  18. Detroit, Michigan
  19. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (The only major metro area in the top 20)
  20. Birmingham, Alabama

Market Trends for 2025

  • Affordability: Most of the top 10 markets feature home prices under $350,000, offering relief from high costs in major coastal hubs.
  • Regional Dominance: The Midwest accounts for the majority of the top markets due to its balance of job access and lower living expenses.
  • Alternative Lists: Zillow also publishes a “Hottest Markets” forecast based on projected competitiveness (e.g., home value appreciation). For 2025, 

Buffalo, NY, and Indianapolis, IN led that separate list. 

www.googlesearch.com

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 December 18, 2025

1. Divergence in AI Related Stocks….Google Exposed vs. Open AI Exposed

Michael Batnick


2. Bitcoin Whales Back to Buying…Most Purchases in 13 Years

BTC whales. Over the last 30 days, Bitcoin whales have accumulated 269,822 BTC worth $23.3bn, the most in 13 years.

Daily Chartbook


3. LULU Stock 5-Year Negative Return Before Elliot Investment Today

Google Finance


4. MSOS Largest Weed ETF…+65% YTD….Still -80% Since Initial Legalization

Google Finance


5. MSOS Not Even Back to 2024 Highs Yet

StockCharts


6. Curaleaf is Largest Market Cap U.S. Weed Stock….Just Hitting 2024 Levels

StockCharts


7. States Are Raking In Billions From Slot Machines on Your Phone-NYT

NYtimes


8. Robinhood Rolls Out the Prop Bets

CNBC


9. Small Fraction Behind Most Online Hate

Semafor


10. Having more muscle and less hidden abdominal fat gives you a younger brain. Here’s how to get strong healthily

Story by Rachel Boswell

As if the benefits of strength training weren’t extensive enough, we have another perk to add to the pile: a younger brain.

That’s right – according to brand-new research that will be presented at the Radiological Society of North America’s annual meeting later this month, having more muscle mass can protect against brain ageing. Meanwhile, having more visceral fat – that is, the hidden fat that sits deeper within your body, which lines your abdominal walls and surrounds many of your vital organs – accelerates brain ageing.

Here’s what the study discovered and what you can do to strengthen your body and think sharp for the long haul.

Strong muscles, strong mind

Thanks to several studies, we already know the importance of building and maintaining muscle mass for the sake of better physical health. Strong, well-functioning muscles not only help you to run more powerfully, become less prone to injury, develop a nice aesthetic and reduce your risk of various diseases and chronic conditions, but also play a big role in combatting age-related problems like sarcopenia.

So carrying more muscle can help you to live in a more youthful body, for longer. But what does it do for the brain?

That’s what the latest science set out to determine. For the new study in question, researchers tested 1,164 healthy adults – 52% women, with an average age of 55 – by putting them each through a full-body MRI scan. MRI scans provide a distinct view of a person’s fat, muscle and brain tissue and can reveal the biological age of the brain based on its structure.

Following the participants’ full-body MRI scans, the researchers used an AI algorithm to precisely measure their total normalised muscle volume, their visceral fat and their subcutaneous fat, which is the fat that you can pinch just under the skin. They also used this AI algorithm to predict each participant’s brain age.

The results showed that subcutaneous fat had no significant impact on predicted brain age. However, the participants who demonstrated a higher visceral fat to muscle ratio had a higher predicted brain age, while those who carried more muscle had younger-looking brains.

‘Healthier bodies with more muscle mass and less hidden belly fat are more likely to have healthier, youthful brains,’ concludes Dr Cyrus Raji, the study’s senior author and associate professor of radiology and neurology at Washington University School of Medicine, who adds that better brain health lowers the risk of diseases like Alzheimer’s.

‘While it is commonly known that chronological aging translates to loss of muscle mass and increased hidden belly fat, this work shows that these health measures relate to brain ageing itself,’ he adds.

How to build muscle mass

You don’t have to be a fat-free, Arnold Schwarzenegger-esque bodybuilder to develop a more youthful brain. Instead, to maintain a healthy fat-muscle ratio, complete at least 150 minutes of moderate-intensity activity a week, like walking or cycling, or 75 minutes of vigorous intensity activity a week, like our favourite, running. It’s also important to do two or more weekly strength sessions, which target all the major muscles groups in the body.

While a recent study has found that doing just one strength workout a week is enough to generate improvements, two or more is optimal when it comes to enhancing your overall running performance, resilience and longevity – not to mention, as we now know, your brain function. If you’re unsure how or where to start with strength training, our expert-led guide for beginners will show you how to build a decent strength base in just four weeks.

To maintain a robust body, you should also remember to hydrate well, follow a regular sleep schedule – involving around seven to nine hours of shut-eye per night – and stick to a balanced, nutritious diet that contains a sufficient amount of protein. The recommended daily target for protein is 0.8g per kilogram of body weight, spread out evenly across mealtimes, although active people – especially runners – may need more than this to support muscle recovery and brain-friendly muscle growth. 

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/health/other/having-more-muscle-and-less-hidden-abdominal-fat-gives-you-a-younger-brain-heres-how-to-get-strong-healthily/ar-AA1ShJsm

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 December 17, 2025

1. Gold Price Today vs. 1970’s


2. Crude Oil 52-Week Lows

Bespoke Investments As mentioned above, crude oil prices are down over 1% this morning, and while not quite at 52-week lows on an intraday basis, if these losses hold, it will mark a new 52-week closing low. After briefly trading over $80 per barrel in January, prices have been in a steady decline almost all year. The only exception was back in June when prices briefly spiked after Israel launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.

Even though crude oil is sinking towards new 52-week lows, the S&P 500 Energy sector has been holding up relatively well. While it’s underperforming the S&P 500 on a YTD basis, it’s still much closer to 52-week highs than 52-week lows. That may be partly due to the strength of natural gas, although even that commodity has weakened in the last few days, falling from $5.25 MMBtu on 12/5, down to $3.94 this morning…

Bespoke


3. Big American Auto Non-Player in EV

WSJ-American automakers want to boost their profits by selling high-margin gas guzzlers today, all while not falling behind on electric-vehicle technology. It will be difficult to do both.

Look at the list of regulatory changes this year, and it is all but impossible for U.S. automakers to not lean into selling big SUVs and trucks. Car manufacturers no longer face penalties for failing to meet federal fuel-economy standards, which are themselves also being revised to become less stringent. The $7,500 tax credit for buying EVs expired. California no longer has the ability to set its own tailpipe-emissions standards, which were a big driver of EV investment. BloombergNEF estimates that 24% fewer EVs will be sold in the U.S. in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with a year earlier.

It isn’t just the U.S. The European Union, U.K. and Canada are all pulling back or rethinking their ambitious EV mandates.

WSJ


4. CoreWeave -55% in 6 Months

Google Finance


5. Invitation Homes Started Buying Houses in 2012…Back to 2023 Lows…50day thru 200day to Downside

StockCharts


6. COIN Stock Negative For 2025….Sideways 2 Years.

Stockcharts


7. Lithium Stocks Up this Morning….LIT ETF Doubled Off Bottom Back to 2023 Levels.

CNBC Lithium stocks — Lithium prices soared in China after the government announced plans to revoke mining, sending miners stocks higher. Atlas Lithium jumped nearly 9%, while Albemarle and Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile each rose about 4%. Lithium Argentina gained 5% and Lithium Americas added nearly 2%.https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/17/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-premarket-.html

Stockcharts


8. Who Imports Venezuelan Oil?

Statista


9. Largest Asset Managers….Vanguard Behind Blackrock.

Inves7


10. How High Net Worth Advisors Rate Professional Traders.

Chris Bendtsen

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 December 15, 2025

1. History of All-Time Highs

Chart of the Day

Why you shouldn’t fear all-time highs.

Charlie Bilello


2. History of Rate Cuts Near All-time Highs

Subu Trade


3. History of Volatility Index Dropping Below 15

VIX. “$VIX has dropped below 15 for the first time in over 2 months, signaling a return to more normal volatility. Past cases saw $SPX higher 13 out of 14 times after 3 weeks & higher every time 1 year later.”

Subu Trade


4. Mag 7 Lagging S&P 2025

Phil Rosen


5. Retail Investors Selling Mega Cap Tech???

Retail flows. “Flows show retail investors rotating away from megacap tech toward ETFs.”

The Daily Shot


6. Nasdaq Has Doubled Since ChatGPT


7. Fermi Stock -70%

Google Finance


8. UBS Poll of Billionaire Investors Intentions for Next 12 Months

UBS

Business Insider


9. Here’s how much money Heisman Trophy finalists Made in NIL

Fernando Mendoza, QB, $2.6 million

Diego Pavia, QB, $2.5 million

Julian Sayin, QB, $2.5 million

Jeremiyah Love, RB, $1.6 million

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-much-money-heisman-trophy-finalists-mendoza-pavia-and-love-made-from-nil-deals-this-season-9c527fbc?mod=home_lead


10. Actions and beliefs-Seth’s Blog

It’s tempting to believe that our actions follow our beliefs. That’s what we do, it seems, and so others must as well.

In fact, just about always, our beliefs arise as a result of our actions.

If you want to change what people believe, change how they act. 

https://seths.blog/page/2/