Category Archives: Daily Top Ten

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 January 14, 2026

1. Powell has the Highest Approval Rating of any American Political Leader

Approval ratings. “Powell has the highest approval rating of any ‘political leader’ in the country.”

Daily Chartbook


2. Kalshi Handicap of Mid-Terms

Kalshi


3. Spending by Billionaires on Elections

Prof G Media


4. Japanes Yen Close to Breaking 3 Year Lows

StockCharts


5. Japanes Stock Market New Highs with Weak Currency

StockCharts


6. S&P 500 Buyback Blackout Period Now

Dave Lutz Jones Trading More than half of SPX is in a buyback blackout window ahead of Q4 earnings.


7. Netflix Back Liberation Day Selloff Lows

StockCharts


8. Social Skills Rank Highest in Employment and Wages

The American Community Survey shows how important social skills are…

Census


9. Iran’s Biggest Trading Partners

Semafor


10. Good News: Study Shows That Most Men Are Not Toxic

A new study investigated how common toxic masculinity is. Here’s what it found. Sebastian Ocklenburg, Ph.D.The Asymmetric Brain

Key points

  • “Toxic masculinity” is often mentioned online but there is not much psychological research on it.
  • A new study in more than 15,000 mean investigated eight markers of toxic masculinity.
  • Only 10.8 percent of men included in the study showed clear signs of toxic masculinity.
  • Hostile and benevolent toxic masculinity need to be differentiated.

“Toxic Masculinity” is a buzzword widely used online that broadly captures troubling attitudes about masculinity that may be harmful to others. However, little actual psychological research has been conducted on it. This is a problem, since it leaves unclear what defines toxic masculinity and how common it is.

A new psychological study on toxic masculinity

A new study entitled “Are Men Toxic? A Person-Centered Investigation Into the Prevalence of Different Types of Masculinity in a Large Sample of New Zealand Men,” published in “Psychology of Men & Masculinities,” a scientific journal by the American Psychological Association APA, focused on toxic masculinity (Hill Cone and co-workers, 2026). In the study, the research team, led by scientist Deborah Hill Cone from the School of Psychology at the University of Auckland in New Zealand, analyzed data from the New Zealand Attitudes and Values Study. Overall, data from more than 15,000 male heterosexual volunteers aged between 18 and 99 years were included in the study. The volunteers included in the study had filled out various questionnaires, and the scientists concentrated on analyzing eight factors that could indicate problematic or toxic masculinity:

  1. Gender identity centrality: This psychological construct measures how important it is for someone’s sense of self to be a man.
  2. Sexual prejudice: This psychological construct measures negative thoughts about other people based on their sexual orientation.
  3. Disagreeableness: A personality trait that includes being unpleasant and offensive to other people.
  4. Narcissism: A personality trait that includes an increased sense of self-worth, often at the cost of other people.
  5. Hostile sexism: Overtly negative attitudes towards women.
  6. Benevolent sexism: Attitudes towards women that are not overtly hostile but still view them in a stereotypical way.
  7. Opposition to domestic violence prevention initiatives: Being opposed to initiatives helping prevent violence towards women in relationships
  8. Social dominance orientation: A preference against equality in social groups and for having a dominance hierarchy within groups.

Results of the study: Only about 11 percent of men show toxic masculinity

The scientists used advanced statistical modelling to identify subgroups of men characterized by distinct profiles across the eight toxic masculinity markers included in the study. These “latent profile analyses” revealed five distinct groups of men regarding toxic masculinity. The good news is that most men did not show toxic masculinity.

The largest group was called “Atoxics” (35.4 percent). These men showed low values across all eight indicators of toxic masculinity.

The second and third largest groups (27.2 percent and 26.6 percent of volunteers) both showed low to moderate values across the eight indicators of toxic masculinity.

Only the two smallest groups showed high levels of toxic masculinity. These included the “Benevolent Toxic” group (7.6 percent) that showed high values on benevolent sexism and sexual prejudice and moderate-to-high values on the other markers of toxic masculinity. The smallest group was the “Hostile Toxic” group (3.2 percent) that showed the highest values on hostile sexism, opposition to domestic violence prevention, disagreeableness, narcissism, and social dominance orientation.

Takeaway

Taken together, only 10.8 percent of the volunteers in this large study showed clear signs of toxic masculinity, while 89.2 percent did not. This finding indicates that the vast majority of men are not “toxic” and do not believe in destructive male attitudes. The study also showed that there seem to be two forms of toxic masculinity: the hostile and the benevolent. The scientists suggested that this finding should be kept in mind when developing measures to protect against toxic masculinity. 

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-asymmetric-brain/202601/good-news-study-shows-that-most-men-are-not-toxic

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 January 13, 2026

1. $9Trillion Money Markets Here We Come

The Kobeissi Letter


2. Credit Spreads Approaching Historically Tight Levels

Capital Group


3. KWEB Chinese Internet ETF Still 65% Below 2021 All-Time Highs

The Irrelevant Investor


4. Dollar Weakened Yesterday But Off Last Year’s Lows and 50 day thru 200day to Upside

StockCharts


5. FRDM ETF Excludes Authoritarian Regimes vs. Other Emerging Markets ETFs…..3 Years FRDM +100% vs. EEM +50%

YCharts


6. Waymo has Ambitious Expansion Plans

Zvi Mowshowitz


7. Rare Earths-Prof G

PROF G MEDIA


8. $700m Green Cash was Declared in 2 Years Moving Out of Minneaplis Airport

Perplexity


9. America is Closing in on Half the Country Being Registered Independent Voters

Gallup


10. Oldest Boomers Turning 80

Pew Research Center

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 January 12, 2026

1. History of +1% Starts to the Year

Good Start, Good Year: the strong start to 2026 bodes well for the rest of the year, as Ryan Detrick Notes: “The S&P 500 is up more than 1% after the first 5 days of 2026. Historically, when this happens, the full year is positive more than 87% of the time and up nearly 16% on average.”Thinking it through, the main logic to this statistical boon is probably a combination of momentum effects and the absence of bad macro/fundamental news.

Ryan Detrick


2. 12% of S&P 500 at 52-Week Highs

Spilled Coffee


3. GDP x FFR vs. SPX P/E. “Accelerating/stable GDP growth with Fed cutting supports multiple expansion…best combination”

Goldman Sachs via @mikezaccardi

Daily Chartbook


4. Tech Debt 2026 vs. 1999…Not An Issue Yet

At least no debt, yet TMT debt growth – this is the key difference between the Dot Com and AI CAPEX booms.

Goldman


5. Tech Capital Spending is Back to Previous Highs But They are Using Cash

BCA Research


6. Risk-On Small Cap, Meme ETF, High Yield Bonds

Bloomberg


7. IWM Small Cap +5.72% vs. S&P +1.78% to Start 2026

YCharts


8. AMZN Dominating Large Tech to Start 2026…AMZN +7% vs. MAGS (Mag 7 ETF) Flat


9. How Often are Housing Returns Positive?

Ben Carlson


10. Room temperature-Seth’s Blog

Left alone, a cup of coffee will gradually cool until it reaches room temperature.

Stable systems regress to the mean. Things level out on their way to average, which maintains the stability of the system.

The same pressures are put on any individual in our culture.

Sooner or later, unless you push back, you’ll end up at room temperature.

(As I write this, the built-in grammar tool has made suggestions to every single sentence, pushing to make it sound less like me and more like normal.)

https://seths.blog

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 January 09, 2026

1. Non-Tech Sectors Leading 2026

Bespoke


2. The American Consumer Keeps on Spending…XRT Retailer ETF New Highs on chart….+5% 2026

Google Finance


3. Supreme Court Tariff Ruling Tomorrow

More Than 1000 Companies Suing Trump Over Tariffs-Bloomberg

Bloomberg


4. S&P Revenue Per Worker Breaks Higher Out of a 15 Year Sideways Pattern

The Irrelevant Investor


5. Goldman Clients Record Bearish on Oil

Bloomberg


6. Current Middle East Natural Gas

Semafor


7. Wildcatters Head to Venezuela

“Wildcatter” oil entrepreneurs are racing to secure deals in Venezuela, as they seek to get ahead of energy majors that are still weighing the risks of re-entering the country after the US capture of Nicolás Maduro.  Many have experience of working in Venezuela, while some have previously struck deals in the country, which may enable them to resume operations more speedily if the US lifts sanctions and they can secure funding.

https://www.ft.com/content/34b476fe-ddc8-4cfb-b1cf-acf8ffde5ca5


8. The World is Sobering Up

WSJ


9. Single-Family Rentals 1% of Inventory

Nick Timiraos


10. How to Find Meaning in Your Life

In a very real sense, the meaning of life is therefore to create meaning.

So how does one create meaning? Two ways:

  1. Solve Problems. The bigger the problem, the more meaning one will feel. The more work you do towards that problem, also the more meaning you will feel. Solving problems basically means finding ways to make the world a slightly better place. Can be as simple as fixing up your aging mother’s dilapidated house. Or as complex as working on the new great breakthrough in physics.

The point here is not to be picky. It’s easy, when we start thinking of how insignificant we are on a cosmic scale of the universe, to start thinking there’s no point in doing anything unless we’re going to save the world or something. This is just a distraction. There are tons of small, everyday problems going on around you that need your attention. Start giving it.

  1. Help Others. This is the biggie. As humans, we’re wired to thrive on our relationships. Studies show that our overall well-being is deeply tied to the quality of our relationships,2 and the best way to build healthy relationships is through helping others. In fact, some studies have even found that giving stuff away makes us happier than giving stuff to ourselves.3 Go figure.

As such, it seems to be a “hack” in our brains that helping out other people gives us a greater sense of meaning and purpose. Just the fact you can say to yourself, “If I died, then someone is better off because I lived,” creates that sense of meaning that can propel you forward.

https://markmanson.net/the-meaning-of-life

TOPLEY’S TOP 10 January 08, 2026

1. Friday Supreme Court Decision on Tariffs…Kalshi and Polymarket Odds Favor Tariff Vote Down

CryptoSlate


2. Dow Jones and Dow Transports Both Make New Highs-Triggering Dow Theory

From Dave Lutz at Jones Trading

The Dow Theory was triggered yesterday – “A primary trend signal is only considered valid if both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) move in the same direction, reflecting a consistent economic condition across production and distribution sectors

Investopedia


3. Investors Allocation to Bonds Back to Lows of 2008

Topdown Charts


4. Short-Term Traders—Energy 3 Standard Deviations Over 50 Day

Bespoke


5. Trump Wants to Ban Institutional Investors Buying American Homes…..Invitation Home 5-Year Negative Return

DJT “I am immediately taking steps to ban large institutional investors from buying more single-family homes, and I will be calling on Congress to codify it,” Trump said in a Truth Social post. “People live in homes, not corporations.”

Google Finance


6. Blackstone Stock Action

The Kobeissi Letter


7. U.S. Mortgage Rates Drop to Lowest in One Year…Approaching 6%

Bloomberg


8. Marcus Lemonis Lost $50m Over 10 Years on The Profit TV Show

Perplexity


9. The New American Food Pyramid

Business Insider


10. Polypharmacy -7.6M Seniors Were Simultaneously Prescribed 8 or More Meds

The WSJ recently published an article on the dangers of Polypharmacy, patients ingesting eight or more medications simultaneously.

They uncovered some alarming data concerning seniors’ healthcare.

In 2022, 7.6 million seniors were simultaneously prescribed eight or more medications for at least ninety days.

Of those seniors, 3.9 million took 10+ drugs at once.

More than 419,000 were prescribed 15+ drugs at the same time.

Among those in the analysis taking eight or more drugs, 3.6 million had prescriptions for at least one medication that geriatricians say elderly patients should avoid.

Tony Isola