TOPLEY’S TOP 10 July 18, 2025

1. August/September Seasonality

Dave Lutz Jones Trading Over the last 35 years, August and September are the worst performing months of the year. Average performance has been mixed in August with DJIA and S&P 500 recording losses of 0.9% and 0.6% respectively while NASDAQ has eked out a meager 0.1% gain. September has been red across the board for DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ – “Our July seasonal pattern chart shows this August-September market retreat actually tends to begin around mid-July” noted AlmanacTrader


2. All-Time Highs Not Bearish

SPX vs. ATHs. “Since 1990, the S&P 500 was higher a year after an all-time high 82.4% of the time and up a median return of a very impressive 13.5%.”

Ryan Detrick – Carson Group


3. Semiconductor Weight in S&P

https://www.topdowncharts.com


4. Small Cap Stocks Get in Green for 2025 …Still Below Highs.

www.stockcharts.com


5. FXI China Large Cap New Highs…+25% YTD

www.stockcharts.com


6. China Small Caps New Highs…+36% YTD

www.stockcharts.com


7. PKW Stock Buyback ETF Hits New Highs.

www.stockcharts.com


8. Multinationals Moving Out of China.


9. Where Inflation Hits

www.chartr.com


10. Admins vs. Doctors in Modern U.S.

https://x.com/robertlufkinmd/status/1945921745027740117