TOPLEY’S TOP 10 April 30, 2025

1. Zweig Market Breadth Thrust

The Zweig Market Breadth Thrust has triggered for the 17th time in history. The previous 16 times have resulted in an S&P 500 average gain of 16.35% after 6 months and 23.78% after 12 months. The S&P 500 has NEVER been red after 6 months and 12 months following the trigger.

Real Investment Advice

Perplexity


2. Tesla Rallied Right Back to 200-Day Moving Average…

StockCharts


3. Kyle Bass on International Stocks

Kyle Bass


4. Bitcoin ETFs $2.9B Inflows

Bitcoin flows. “Last week, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of 31,323 $BTC, equivalent to approximately $2.9 billion. In BTC terms, it was the fifth-largest weekly inflow on record. In dollar terms, it ranks even higher – the third-largest inflow.”

Glassnode


5. Container Bookings from China Falling

Vizion


6. Gold Short-Term Overbought

Daily Shot Brief


7. Total Weight of Top 10 Companies S&P 500…Rise Since 2017

The Irrelevant Investor


8. Plane Ticket Prices Flat for 15 Years

Sherwood


9. Top Colleges Are Too Costly Even for Parents Making $300,000

Many families earn too much to get meaningful aid but too little to cover tuition out of pocket.

Bloomberg


10. Win the Morning

Via The Daily Stoic: One of the most relatable moments in Meditations is Marcus Aurelius’s argument with himself at the beginning of Book 5. It’s a struggle he’s clearly faced many mornings—as have so many of us: He knows he must get out of bed, yet desperately wants to stay under the warm covers.

It’s relatable…but it’s also impressive. Marcus didn’t actually have to get out of bed. He didn’t really have to do anything. As emperor, he could do as he pleased. One of his predecessors, Tiberius, basically abandoned the throne for an exotic island. Marcus’s adopted great-grandfather Hadrian hardly spent any time in Rome at all. The emperor had all sorts of prerogatives, and here Marcus was insisting that he rise early and get to work.

Why? Because Marcus understood that winning the morning was essential to winning the day—and ultimately, life itself. Though he wouldn’t have known the phrase “the early bird gets the worm,” he grasped that a day well-begun is half done. By pushing himself to do something difficult, by committing to what he knew he was born to do and loved to do, Marcus set himself up for daily success (more on this in our How To Read Meditations guide, by the way).

This is a practice we must follow today and every day. We should rise early, without delay. We should nourish ourselves properly. We should maintain good habits. We should tackle our most important task first thing. By winning the morning, we reduce the power that the rest of the day—much of which lies beyond our control—holds over us.

Well-begun is half won. So get started.